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Süper Lig
Referee: S Arslanboğa
İstanbulspor
T T T T T
2–1
Full-time
Kasimpasa
T T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

İstanbulspor Kasimpasa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,5
2,2
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
2,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-0,8
This season — Süper Lig · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 22%
14%
29%
Points per game
0,6
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
57%
43%
Both score Ø 50%
57%
43%
Average goals
2,9
2,6
Scored
0,9
0,9
Conceded
2,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,1
-0,9
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

51% Possession 49%
10 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 3
0 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 5
2 Offside 8
15 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match İstanbulspor 19. · Kasimpasa 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fenerbahce 15 10 2 3 +24 32
2 Galatasaray 14 9 3 2 +14 30
3 Buyuksehyr 15 9 3 3 +8 30
4 Ad. Demirspor 14 7 6 1 +11 27
5 Trabzonspor 14 7 5 2 +5 26
6 Konyaspor 15 6 7 2 +7 25
7 Besiktas 14 6 5 3 +8 23
8 Kayserispor 15 7 2 6 +3 23
9 Alanyaspor 16 5 6 5 -3 21
10 Gaziantep 14 4 5 5 +0 17
11 Ankaragücü 15 4 4 7 -4 16
12 Antalyaspor 14 5 1 8 -6 16
13 Giresunspor 14 4 4 6 -7 16
14 Kasimpasa 14 4 3 7 -12 15
15 Hatayspor 15 4 3 8 -14 15
16 Sivasspor 15 3 5 7 -5 14
17 Karagumruk 14 3 4 7 -4 13
18 Ümraniyespor 15 2 4 9 -10 10
19 İstanbulspor 14 2 2 10 -15 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

İstanbulspor Kasimpasa
25′
R. Petretta 0–1
1–1 V. Ethemi
M. Sarıkaya
29′
38′
🟨 Mickael Tirpan
Half-time 1–1
İbrahim Yilmaz 🟨
49′
49′
🟨 Tarkan Serbest
51′
🟨 Jeffrey Bruma
62′
🟨 Raoul Petretta
Muammer Sarıkaya 🟨
63′
65′
🔁 H. Hajradinović
↦ B. Celina
78′
🔁 S. Bahoken
↦ F. Koita
78′
🔁 A. Engin
↦ R. Petretta
2–1 E. Gültekin
78′
O. Berber 🔁
↦ E. Gültekin
87′
M. Yeşil 🔁
↦ M. Ologo
88′
A. Čajič 🔁
↦ E. Rroca
89′
89′
🔁 Y. Özcan
↦ V. Eysseric
A. Yaşar 🔁
↦ İ. Yılmaz
95′
K. Bağış 🔁
↦ V. Ethemi
100′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

İstanbulspor

4-1-4-1
1 D. Jensen G
21 D. Duhaney D
50 M. Ologo D
23 O. Erdoğan D
3 D. Aksu D
57 M. Kabasakal M
19 E. Gültekin M
24 M. Sarıkaya M
10 E. Rroca M
27 V. Ethemi M
9 İ. Yılmaz F
Bench (9)
13 O. Berber
4 M. Yeşil
11 A. Čajič
77 K. Bağış
66 A. Yaşar
44 Y. Özer
88 A. Mehremić
18 V. Temel
59 A. Arda

Coach: F. Tekke

Kasimpasa

4-2-3-1
1 E. Taşkıran G
94 F. Hadërgjonaj D
5 J. Bruma D
15 T. Serbest D
28 R. Petretta D
24 M. Tirpan M
13 V. Eysseric M
7 M. Fall M
59 B. Celina M
12 M. Ben Ouannes M
9 F. Koita F
Bench (10)
10 H. Hajradinović
19 S. Bahoken
17 A. Engin
58 Y. Özcan
35 A. Kara
8 T. Torun
6 D. Graovac
4 R. Donk
22 E. Canpolat
11 Y. Mallı

Coach: S. İnan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,74
U
3,61
B
2,40
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,65
U2,5
2,22
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Arslanboğa · 26 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.