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Ligue 1
Referee: M Bollengier
Auxerre
U T S U T
2–3
Full-time
Monaco
U S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Auxerre Monaco
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,8
Scored
0,8
2,3
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,8
This season — Ligue 1 · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 37%
20%
53%
Points per game
0,9
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
60%
53%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,3
Scored
0,9
1,9
Conceded
2,1
1,4
Goal diff per game
-1,1
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

38% Possession 62%
11 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
1 Corners 3
3 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Auxerre 18. · Monaco 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 15 13 2 0 +34 41
2 Lens 15 11 3 1 +16 36
3 Rennes 15 9 4 2 +17 31
4 Marseille 15 9 3 3 +13 30
5 Lorient 15 8 4 3 +5 28
6 Monaco 15 8 3 4 +8 27
7 Lille 15 8 2 5 +4 26
8 Lyon 15 6 3 6 +5 21
9 Nice 15 5 5 5 -2 20
10 Clermont 15 5 4 6 -4 19
11 Reims 15 3 8 4 -5 17
12 Toulouse 15 4 4 7 -7 16
13 Troyes 16 3 6 7 -5 15
14 Ajaccio 16 4 3 9 -9 15
15 Montpellier 15 4 2 9 -5 14
16 Nantes 16 2 8 6 -7 14
17 Brest 15 3 4 8 -12 13
18 Auxerre 15 3 4 8 -17 13
19 Strasbourg 15 1 8 6 -9 11
20 Angers 16 2 2 12 -20 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Auxerre Monaco
1–0 M. Niang
30′
Julian Jeanvier 🟨
34′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 A. Golovin
↦ T. Minamino
46′
🔁 Y. Fofana
↦ E. Matazo
46′
🔁 E. Ben Seghir
↦ W. Ben Yedder
48′
W. Ben Yedder 1–1
58′
E. Ben Seghir 1–2
A. Golovin
Y. M'Changama 🔁
↦ M. Autret
60′
Nuno da Costa 🔁
↦ G. Perrin
60′
1–3 Y. Fofana
own goal
68′
71′
🔁 A. Disasi
↦ R. Aguilar
77′
🔁 Vanderson
↦ Gelson Martins
G. Hein 🔁
↦ M. Niang
80′
85′
E. Ben Seghir 1–4
I. Jakobs
R. Raveloson 🔁
↦ L. Sinayoko
86′
Ousmane Camara 🔁
↦ H. Sakhi
86′
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Auxerre

4-4-1-1
23 B. Costil G
13 A. Zedadka D
4 Jubal D
27 J. Jeanvier D
14 G. Mensah D
17 L. Sinayoko M
22 H. Sakhi M
12 B. Touré M
10 G. Perrin M
29 M. Autret F
11 M. Niang F
Bench (9)
6 Y. M'Changama
9 Nuno da Costa
7 G. Hein
97 R. Raveloson
28 Ousmane Camara
3 Q. Bernard
40 T. De Percin
32 D. Bain
26 P. Joly

Coach: C. Pélissier

Monaco

4-4-2
16 A. Nübel G
26 R. Aguilar D
3 G. Maripán D
23 M. Sarr D
14 I. Jakobs D
77 Gelson Martins M
15 E. Matazo M
4 Mohamed Camara M
18 T. Minamino M
36 B. Embolo F
10 W. Ben Yedder F
Bench (9)
17 A. Golovin
19 Y. Fofana
44 E. Ben Seghir
6 A. Disasi
2 Vanderson
30 T. Didillon
27 K. Diatta
9 M. Boadu
5 B. Badiashile

Coach: P. Clement

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,39
U
3,97
B ✓
1,77
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,72
U2,5
2,14
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Bollengier · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.