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Süper Lig
Referee: M Güzenge
İstanbulspor
T T T T T
0–1
Full-time
Hatayspor
S T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

İstanbulspor Hatayspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,8
3,5
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
2,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,5
This season — Süper Lig · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 21%
17%
25%
Points per game
0,7
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
58%
58%
Both score Ø 54%
58%
50%
Average goals
3,1
2,8
Scored
1,0
0,9
Conceded
2,1
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,1
-0,9
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

50% Possession 50%
9 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
6 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match İstanbulspor 18. · Hatayspor 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fenerbahce 13 9 2 2 +22 29
2 Galatasaray 13 8 3 2 +13 27
3 Ad. Demirspor 13 6 6 1 +10 24
4 Buyuksehyr 13 7 3 3 +4 24
5 Kayserispor 13 7 2 4 +6 23
6 Trabzonspor 13 6 5 2 +3 23
7 Besiktas 13 6 4 3 +8 22
8 Konyaspor 13 5 6 2 +6 21
9 Alanyaspor 14 4 5 5 -5 17
10 Gaziantep 13 4 4 5 +0 16
11 Antalyaspor 12 5 1 6 -2 16
12 Giresunspor 13 4 3 6 -7 15
13 Kasimpasa 13 4 3 6 -11 15
14 Karagumruk 13 3 4 6 -3 13
15 Ankaragücü 13 3 4 6 -5 13
16 Sivasspor 14 2 5 7 -6 11
17 Hatayspor 12 3 2 7 -11 11
18 İstanbulspor 12 2 2 8 -13 8
19 Ümraniyespor 13 1 4 8 -9 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

İstanbulspor Hatayspor
-5′
🟨 Kaan Kanak
Eduart Rroca 🟨
23′
24′
A. El Kaabi 0–1
42′
🟨 Ayoub El Kaabi
Half-time 0–1
P. Ebert 🔁
↦ O. Erdoğan
63′
63′
🔁 S. Lobzhanidze
↦ K. Kanak
69′
🟨 Onur Ergun
74′
🔁 M. Boudjemaa
↦ Rúben Ribeiro
74′
🔁 M. Çağıran
↦ O. Ergün
Michael Ologo 🟨
76′
79′
🟨 Rayane Aabid
K. Abazaj 🔁
↦ M. Kabasakal
81′
Patrick Ebert 🟨
88′
88′
🔁 K. Varga
↦ Zé Luís
91′
🟨 Mehdi Boudjemaa
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

İstanbulspor

4-3-3
1 D. Jensen G
13 O. Berber D
50 M. Ologo D
4 M. Yeşil D
3 D. Aksu D
57 M. Kabasakal M
23 O. Erdoğan M
10 E. Rroca M
98 J. Topalli F
9 İ. Yılmaz F
27 V. Ethemi F
Bench (10)
20 P. Ebert
7 K. Abazaj
59 A. Arda
18 V. Temel
19 E. Gültekin
21 D. Duhaney
61 S. Guri
44 Y. Özer
77 K. Bağış
66 A. Yaşar

Coach: F. Tekke

Hatayspor

4-2-3-1
1 E. Kardeşler G
12 K. Çörekçi D
15 R. Yılmaz D
53 B. Öksüz D
23 S. Adekugbe D
4 O. Ergün M
10 R. Aabid M
25 A. El Kaabi M
7 Rúben Ribeiro M
26 K. Kanak M
29 Zé Luís F
Bench (10)
11 S. Lobzhanidze
8 M. Boudjemaa
6 M. Çağıran
21 K. Varga
19 M. Mert
22 K. Alıcı
3 S. Falette
33 Y. Boyar
77 S. Baş
31 A. Yiğiter

Coach: V. Demirel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,30
U
3,41
B ✓
3,00
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,79
U2,5 ✓
2,01
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Güzenge · 30 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,03 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.