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Super League
Referee: B Madden
PAOK
T S S T T
0–1
Full-time
Aris Thessalonikis
S S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PAOK Aris Thessalonikis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,8
3,0
Scored
2,0
1,5
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,0
This season — Super League · 11/10 matches
Win Ø 53%
55%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
55%
50%
Both score Ø 48%
55%
40%
Average goals
3,1
2,4
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

56% Possession 44%
5 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 2
0 Offside 3
18 Free kicks against 21
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match PAOK 5. · Aris Thessalonikis 7. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 11 9 2 0 +12 29
2 AEK 12 8 2 2 +11 26
3 Aris 11 6 2 3 +3 20
4 Giannina 12 5 4 3 +12 19
5 PAOK 11 6 1 4 +6 19
6 OFI Crete 12 4 7 1 +4 19
7 Aris Thessalonikis 10 5 2 3 +2 17
8 Panathinaikos 11 4 2 5 +7 14
9 Volos NFC 12 4 2 6 -4 14
10 Asteras Tripolis 11 3 4 4 +1 13
11 Ionikos 12 3 4 5 -5 13
12 Lamia 12 2 4 6 -5 10
13 Apollon 12 1 5 6 -13 8
14 Panetolikos 11 2 2 7 -14 8
15 Atromitos 12 1 3 8 -17 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

9. May -21 PAOK – Aris Thessalonikis 2–0 21. Apr -21 Aris Thessalonikis – PAOK 0–1 7. Mar -21 PAOK – Aris Thessalonikis 2–2 13. Dec -20 Aris Thessalonikis – PAOK 1–0 19. Jul -20 PAOK – Aris Thessalonikis 0–0

Match report

PAOK Aris Thessalonikis
41′
⚽ D. Mancini 0–1
P. N'Diaye
Half-time 0–1
Lucas Taylor 🟨
46′
O. El Kaddouri 🔁
↦ T. Murg
46′
48′
🟨 James Jeggo
A. Mitriță 🔁
↦ S. Schwab
61′
C. Akpom 🔁
↦ K. Świderski
61′
67′
🔁 Bruno Gama
↦ D. Mancini
71′
🟨 Mateo García
74′
🔁 D. Manos
↦ A. Kamara
74′
🔁 Matilla
↦ P. NDiaye
L. Lyratzis 🔁
↦ Lucas Taylor
82′
Jasmin Kurtić 🟨
83′
Andrija Živković 🟨
85′
91′
🔁 J. Iturbe
↦ M. García
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

PAOK

4-2-3-1
31 A. Paschalakis G
5 Fernando Varela D
16 Sidcley D
13 Lucas Taylor D
49 G. Michailidis D
21 D. Biseswar M
22 S. Schwab M
27 J. Kurtič M
10 T. Murg M
14 A. Živković F
9 K. Świderski F
Bench (9)
7 O. El Kaddouri
28 A. Mitriță
47 C. Akpom
19 L. Lyratzis
6 E. Mihaj
2 Rodrigo Alves
44 A. Esiti
4 S. Ingason
88 Ž. Živković

Coach: R. Lucescu

Aris Thessalonikis

4-2-3-1
23 Julián G
21 D. Sundgren M
14 J. Brabec D
4 Fabiano D
22 C. Ganea D
88 Lucas Sasha M
6 J. Jeggo M
17 P. N'Diaye M
10 M. García M
7 D. Mancini M
47 A. Kamara F
Bench (9)
16 Bruno Gama
9 D. Manos
26 Matilla
15 J. Iturbe
1 Denis
66 E. Šakić
3 L. Agbenyenu
29 Y. Benalouane
5 G. Delizisis

Coach: A. Mantzios

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

B Madden · 56 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.