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Super League
Referee: F Brych
PAOK
T U T T T
0–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PAOK Aris Thessalonikis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
1,5
1,0
Scored
0,3
0,5
Conceded
1,2
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,0
This season — Super League · 37/33 matches
Win Ø 47%
49%
45%
Points per game
1,6
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
41%
30%
Both score Ø 35%
43%
27%
Average goals
2,4
1,8
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
0,9
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%
6 Shots 6
3 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 7
1 Offside 3
17 Free kicks against 20
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match PAOK 3. · Aris Thessalonikis 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 37 27 7 3 +38 88
2 Panathinaikos 37 18 8 11 +25 62
3 PAOK 37 18 7 12 +21 61
4 AEK 36 16 8 12 +12 56
5 Aris 34 16 8 10 +7 56
6 Giannina 36 14 11 11 +9 53
7 Aris Thessalonikis 33 15 8 10 +6 53
8 OFI Crete 34 11 13 10 +0 46
9 Ionikos 34 12 9 13 +0 45
10 Volos NFC 34 10 10 14 -5 40
11 Asteras Tripolis 34 11 7 16 -7 40
12 Panetolikos 34 10 7 17 -20 37
13 Atromitos 34 8 8 18 -24 32
14 Lamia 34 6 8 20 -21 26
15 Apollon 34 4 11 19 -41 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

PAOK Aris Thessalonikis
38′
🟨 Facundo Bertoglio
Sverrir Ingi Ingason 🟨
44′
Half-time 0–0
47′
🟨 Salem M'Bakata
58′
🟨 Cheick Doukouré
63′
A. Kamara 0–1
D. Mancini
Jasmin Kurtić 🟨
65′
S. Schwab 🔁
↦ C. Tsingaras
66′
A. Mitriță 🔁
↦ Lucas Taylor
66′
Filipe Soares 🔁
↦ T. Murg
66′
69′
🔁 E. Šakić
↦ S. MBakata
79′
🔁 L. Palma
↦ F. Bertoglio
79′
🔁 M. García
↦ D. Mancini
A. Čolak 🔁
↦ E. Mihaj
80′
Joan Sastre 🟨
82′
85′
🔁 G. Delizisis
↦ J. Iturbe
96′
🟨 Georgios Delizisis
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

PAOK

4-2-3-1
31 A. Paschalakis goalkeeper
4 S. Ingason central_de
16 Sidcley left_back
23 Joan Sastre right_back
13 Lucas Taylor right_wing
6 E. Mihaj central_de
27 J. Kurtič central_mi
10 T. Murg central_mi
51 C. Tsingaras central_mi
14 A. Živković left_winge
47 C. Akpom striker
Bench (9)
22 S. Schwab
28 A. Mitriță
50 Filipe Soares
29 A. Čolak
64 C. Talichmanidis
59 K. Koulierakis
88 Ž. Živković
24 M. Tsaousis
70 G. Koutsias

Coach: R. Lucescu

Aris Thessalonikis

4-2-3-1
23 Julián goalkeeper
21 D. Sundgren right_back
14 J. Brabec central_de
4 Fabiano central_de
2 S. M'Bakata left_back
26 Matilla central_mi
18 F. Bertoglio central_mi
13 C. Doukouré central_mi
7 D. Mancini right_wing
15 J. Iturbe left_winge
47 A. Kamara striker
Bench (9)
66 E. Šakić
50 L. Palma
10 M. García
5 G. Delizisis
16 Bruno Gama
25 C. Marmaridis
9 D. Manos
99 M. Siampanis
3 L. Agbenyenu

Coach: A. Terzis

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Brych · 113 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.