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Super League
Referee: M Al Hakim
1–2
Full-time
PAOK
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aris Thessalonikis PAOK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,7
2,2
Conceded
1,2
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,7
This season — Super League · 26/29 matches
Win Ø 53%
46%
59%
Points per game
1,5
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
54%
41%
Both score Ø 35%
35%
34%
Average goals
2,4
2,1
Scored
1,5
1,6
Conceded
0,9
0,6
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

52% Possession 48%
8 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 6
5 Offside 0
18 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aris Thessalonikis 6. · PAOK 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Panathinaikos 28 21 4 3 +28 67
2 AEK 28 21 2 5 +42 65
3 Olympiakos 29 18 8 3 +42 62
4 PAOK 29 17 10 2 +30 61
5 Volos NFC 29 12 6 11 -11 42
6 Aris Thessalonikis 26 12 4 10 +14 40
7 Aris 27 12 4 11 +13 40
8 Atromitos 29 8 9 12 -3 33
9 Panetolikos 29 8 8 13 -12 32
10 OFI Crete 29 6 10 13 -14 28
11 Asteras Tripolis 29 5 13 11 -15 28
12 Giannina 29 4 11 14 -25 23
13 Lamia 29 4 11 14 -34 23
14 Ionikos 29 5 6 18 -28 21
15 Levadeiakos 29 3 10 16 -27 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aris Thessalonikis PAOK
1–0 L. Palma
12′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 S. Schwab
↦ Tiago Dantas
46′
🔁 Joan Sastre
↦ T. Kędziora
46′
🔁 Taison
↦ K. Narey
47′
🟨 Stefan Schwab
Moses Odubajo 🟨
51′
62′
🔁 Brandon Thomas
↦ Nélson Oliveira
68′
S. Schwab 1–1
Aboubakar Kamara 🟨
72′
73′
A. Živković 1–2
A. Gray 🔁
↦ M. García
80′
Rafael Camacho 🔁
↦ J. Iturbe
80′
Fabiano 🟨
82′
M. Peersman 🔁
↦ B. Mazikou
86′
B. Dabo 🔁
↦ O. Etebo
87′
L. Christodoulopoulos 🔁
↦ L. Palma
87′
88′
🔁 O. El Kaddouri
↦ A. Živković
89′
🟨 Giannis Konstantelias
90′
🟨 Giannis Kargas
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Aris Thessalonikis

99 M. Siampanis G
22 M. Odubajo D
4 Fabiano D
14 J. Brabec D
18 B. Mazikou D
16 V. Darida M
13 O. Etebo M
17 L. Palma M
10 M. García F
47 A. Kamara F
11 J. Iturbe F
Bench (9)
9 A. Gray
64 Rafael Camacho
43 M. Peersman
6 B. Dabo
7 L. Christodoulopoulos
3 N. Nkoulou
8 C. Doukouré
23 Julián
2 S. M'Bakata

PAOK

4-2-3-1
42 D. Kotarski G
16 T. Kędziora D
2 G. Kargas D
59 K. Koulierakis D
55 Rafa Soares D
8 Douglas Augusto M
26 Tiago Dantas M
77 K. Narey M
65 I. Konstantelias M
14 A. Živković M
9 Nélson Oliveira F
Bench (9)
22 S. Schwab
23 Joan Sastre
11 Taison
71 Brandon Thomas
7 O. El Kaddouri
20 Vieirinha
5 G. Michailidis
21 D. Biseswar
18 Ž. Živković

Coach: R. Lucescu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Al Hakim · 112 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.