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Super League
Referee: D Massa
Olympiakos
S U U S T
1–3
Full-time
AEK
U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Olympiakos AEK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,3
Scored
2,2
1,5
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,7
This season — Super League · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 67%
58%
76%
Points per game
2,0
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
52%
48%
Both score Ø 36%
45%
27%
Average goals
2,7
2,4
Scored
2,0
1,9
Conceded
0,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

43% Possession 57%
5 Shots 15
1 Shots on target 7
0 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 0
2 Corners 5
0 Offside 5
11 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Olympiakos 3. · AEK 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Panathinaikos 34 25 6 3 +33 81
2 AEK 33 25 3 5 +48 78
3 Olympiakos 33 19 10 4 +42 67
4 PAOK 34 19 10 5 +29 67
5 Aris Thessalonikis 31 13 5 13 +13 44
6 Aris 31 13 5 13 +13 44
7 Volos NFC 34 12 7 15 -20 43
8 Atromitos 32 8 11 13 -4 35
9 OFI Crete 32 8 11 13 -10 35
10 Panetolikos 32 8 8 16 -16 32
11 Asteras Tripolis 32 5 14 13 -17 29
12 Lamia 32 6 11 15 -34 29
13 Ionikos 32 7 7 18 -26 28
14 Giannina 32 5 12 15 -25 27
15 Levadeiakos 32 4 12 16 -26 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Olympiakos AEK
7′
M. Gaćinović 0–1
S. Zuber
40′
🟨 Damian Szymański
Rodinei 🟨
41′
43′
🟨 Orbelín Pineda
Half-time 0–1
G. Masouras 🔁
↦ M. Valbuena
51′
M. Vrousai 🔁
↦ Pep Biel
51′
1–1 C. Bakambu
54′
Kostas Fortounis 🟨
66′
70′
🔁 N. Amrabat
↦ N. Eliasson
71′
🔁 J. Jønsson
↦ D. Szymański
Y. El-Arabi 🔁
↦ C. Bakambu
77′
82′
L. Garcia 1–2
T. Androutsos 🔁
↦ Rodinei
84′
P. Kasami 🔁
↦ K. Fortounis
84′
84′
🔁 P. Mantalos
↦ S. Zuber
84′
🔁 Paolo Fernandes
↦ M. Gaćinović
89′
🔁 K. Galanopoulos
↦ O. Pineda
91′
P. Mantalos 1–3
N. Amrabat
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Olympiakos

4-2-3-1
91 A. Paschalakis G
23 Rodinei D
66 P. Cissé D
24 O. Ba D
45 O. Reabciuk D
33 Hwang In-Beom M
6 Y. M'Vila M
21 Pep Biel M
28 M. Valbuena M
7 K. Fortounis M
94 C. Bakambu F
Bench (9)
19 G. Masouras
17 M. Vrousai
11 Y. El-Arabi
14 T. Androutsos
27 P. Kasami
88 K. Tzolakis
74 A. Ntoi
2 Ramon
15 S. Papastathopoulos

Coach: J. Anigo

AEK

4-1-3-2
30 G. Athanasiadis G
12 L. Rota D
21 D. Vida D
2 H. Moukoudi D
28 E. Hajisafi D
4 D. Szymański M
19 N. Eliasson M
13 O. Pineda M
8 M. Gaćinović M
7 L. Garcia F
10 S. Zuber F
Bench (9)
5 N. Amrabat
6 J. Jønsson
20 P. Mantalos
22 Paolo Fernandes
25 K. Galanopoulos
1 C. Stanković
9 T. van Weert
24 G. Mitoglou
31 G. Tzavellas

Coach: M. Almeyda

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,20
U
3,30
B ✓
3,16
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,04
U2,5
1,74
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Massa · 154 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.