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OBOS-ligaen

Referee: Ole-Alexander Ekeli Valen

Lillestrom

S S U S S

2–1

Full-time

Raufoss

U T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Raufoss

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

17%

100%

Average goals

2,5

4,0

Scored

2,2

2,3

Conceded

0,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,8

+0,7

This season — OBOS-ligaen · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 47%

64%

29%

Points per game

2,3

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

57%

50%

Both score Ø 54%

29%

79%

Average goals

2,7

3,1

Scored

2,2

1,7

Conceded

0,5

1,4

Goal diff per game

+1,7

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Lillestrom 1. · Raufoss 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lillestrom	14	9	5	0	+24	32
2	Start	15	8	4	3	+11	28
3	Aalesund	14	5	8	1	+7	23
4	Odd	15	6	4	5	+2	22
5	hodd	15	6	4	5	-4	22
6	Sogndal	15	6	3	6	+2	21
7	Egersund	14	6	3	5	-1	21
8	Kongsvinger	14	5	5	4	+6	20
9	Ranheim	14	6	2	6	-3	20
10	Raufoss	14	4	7	3	+4	19
11	Moss	15	6	1	8	-9	19
12	Lyn	15	5	3	7	+2	18
13	Asane	15	4	5	6	-5	17
14	Stabaek	15	3	5	7	-9	14
15	Mjondalen	15	2	5	8	-17	11
16	Skeid	15	1	6	8	-10	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Odd	8	5	3	0	+7	18
2	Moss	8	6	0	2	+6	18
3	Aalesund	8	4	4	0	+7	16
4	Raufoss	8	4	3	1	+7	15
5	Lillestrom	6	4	2	0	+7	14
6	hodd	7	4	1	2	+3	13
7	Asane	7	3	3	1	+1	12
8	Kongsvinger	7	3	2	2	+4	11
9	Sogndal	7	3	2	2	+2	11
10	Start	7	3	1	3	+1	10
11	Ranheim	8	3	1	4	-5	10
12	Stabaek	7	2	2	3	-1	8
13	Lyn	8	2	2	4	-3	8
14	Egersund	6	2	2	2	-5	8
15	Mjondalen	8	1	3	4	-11	6
16	Skeid	7	0	4	3	-8	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lillestrom	8	5	3	0	+17	18
2	Start	8	5	3	0	+10	18
3	Egersund	8	4	1	3	+4	13
4	Lyn	7	3	1	3	+5	10
5	Ranheim	6	3	1	2	+2	10
6	Sogndal	8	3	1	4	+0	10
7	Kongsvinger	7	2	3	2	+2	9
8	hodd	8	2	3	3	-7	9
9	Aalesund	6	1	4	1	+0	7
10	Stabaek	8	1	3	4	-8	6
11	Skeid	8	1	2	5	-2	5
12	Asane	8	1	2	5	-6	5
13	Mjondalen	7	1	2	4	-6	5
14	Raufoss	6	0	4	2	-3	4
15	Odd	7	1	1	5	-5	4
16	Moss	7	0	1	6	-15	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.