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Champions League
Referee: R M Petrescu
Maccabi Tel Aviv
S S T T U
0–1
Full-time
Pafos
U S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Maccabi Tel Aviv Pafos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Recent head-to-head meetings

22. Jul -25 Pafos – Maccabi Tel Aviv 1–1

Match report

Maccabi Tel Aviv Pafos
O. Melika 🔁
↦ Y. Gerafi
13′
Ofek Melika 🟥
30′
R. Mishpati 🔁
↦ D. Turgeman
34′
36′
🟨 Derrick Luckassen
40′
⚽ Jaja 0–1
Bruno
Half-time 0–1
Mohamed Camara 🟨
56′
64′
🔁 M. Bassouamina
↦ Anderson Silva
64′
🔁 M. Tankovic
↦ M. Orsic
64′
🔁 J. Correia
↦ Jaja
67′
🟨 João Correia
71′
🔁 D. Quina
↦ K. Pileas
S. Jehezkel 🔁
↦ O. Davida
75′
R. Shlomo 🔁
↦ M. Camara
75′
E. Madmon 🔁
↦ B. Lederman
75′
85′
🔁 K. Sema
↦ V. Dragomir
95′
🟨 Domingos Quina
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Maccabi Tel Aviv

4-2-3-1
1 Y. Gerafi G
6 T. Asante D
18 N. Stojic D
5 M. Camara D
3 R. Revivo D
23 B. Lederman M
28 I. Sissokho M
77 O. Davida M
42 D. Peretz M
10 Weslley Patati M
9 D. Turgeman F
Bench (12)
22 O. Melika
90 R. Mishpati
4 Heitor
11 S. Jehezkel
13 R. Shlomo
14 D. Gropper
19 E. Madmon
21 N. Ben Harush
30 I. Noy
36 I. Shahar
41 I. Ben Hamo
98 I. Nicolaescu

Coach: Ronny Deila

Pafos

4-4-2
93 N. Michail G
7 Bruno D
23 D. Luckassen D
5 D. Goldar D
2 K. Pileas D
11 Jaja M
26 I. Sunjic M
88 Pepe M
17 M. Orsic M
30 V. Dragomir M
33 Anderson Silva F
Bench (10)
82 P. Petrou
99 A. Papadoudis
8 D. Quina
9 M. Bassouamina
12 K. Sema
22 M. Tankovic
25 B. Langa
35 Pedrao
70 M. Ilia
77 J. Correia

Coach: Albert Celades

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.