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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: Anders Bodding
Moss
U S T T T
3–1
Full-time
Sogndal
T S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Moss Sogndal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,7
3,3
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
2,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,0
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 40%
36%
43%
Points per game
1,1
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 68%
71%
64%
Both score Ø 61%
50%
71%
Average goals
3,6
3,3
Scored
1,4
1,8
Conceded
2,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Moss 13. · Sogndal 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lillestrom 14 9 5 0 +24 32
2 Start 14 7 4 3 +8 25
3 Aalesund 13 5 7 1 +7 22
4 Sogndal 14 6 3 5 +4 21
5 Egersund 13 6 3 4 +0 21
6 Kongsvinger 13 5 5 3 +9 20
7 Raufoss 14 4 7 3 +4 19
8 Odd 14 5 4 5 +0 19
9 Ranheim 13 6 1 6 -3 19
10 hodd 14 5 4 5 -5 19
11 Lyn 14 5 2 7 +2 17
12 Asane 14 4 5 5 -3 17
13 Moss 14 5 1 8 -11 16
14 Stabaek 14 3 5 6 -7 14
15 Skeid 14 1 5 8 -10 8
16 Mjondalen 14 1 5 8 -19 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Moss Sogndal
1–0 K. Harrison
P. Andersen
3′
2–0 T. Jakobsen
6′
A. van der Spa 🟨
10′
11′
🟨 L. Pimenta
P. Andersen 🟨
25′
44′
🟨 M. Oren
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 J. Nundal
↦ M. Oren
51′
🟨 J. Flaten
55′
J. Flaten 2–1
V. Hagen
S. Gronli 🔁
↦ A. Memedov
59′
M. Afonso 🔁
↦ M. Cassidy
59′
68′
🔁 J. Haruna
↦ V. Hagen
68′
🔁 A. Kalstad
↦ P. Flo
68′
🔁 F. Sturgeon
↦ K. Skaanes
68′
🔁 R. Onyango
↦ S. A. Granheim
A. A. Engesvik 🔁
↦ K. Strande
70′
74′
🟨 S. Pedersen
3–1 P. Andersen
A. A. Engesvik
80′
M. Welinder 🔁
↦ J. Barros
83′
M. Mayonga 🔁
↦ K. Sorensen
83′
T. Jakobsen 🟨
86′
M. E. Eriksen 🟨
92′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Moss

1 M. E. Eriksen
2 M. Cassidy
23 J. Barros
4 K. Harrison
3 K. Strande
6 A. van der Spa
8 H. Vold Krohg
17 P. Andersen
20 K. Sorensen
11 T. Jakobsen
19 A. Memedov
Bench (9)
30 M. Skott-Grande
15 A. A. Engesvik
21 S. Gronli
24 M. Welinder
29 M. Mayonga
32 F. Lovtangen
33 W. Andrade-Hellerud
37 M. Antonsen
49 M. Afonso

Coach: Ole Martin Nesselquist

Sogndal

1 L. Jendal
2 D. Bras
17 M. Sjolstad
13 P. Flo
32 M. Oren
33 S. A. Granheim
16 L. Vapne
10 K. Skaanes
8 J. Flaten
18 V. Hagen
7 S. Pedersen
Bench (7)
21 D. Saetren
14 J. Haruna
22 A. Kalstad
23 F. Sturgeon
29 K. Steinset
31 J. Nundal
88 R. Onyango

Coach: Luís Berkemeier Pimenta

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.