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Champions League
Referee: J Kooij
Malmo FF
S S S S S
1–0
Full-time
Rīgas FS
S T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malmo FF Rīgas FS
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
4,0
2,0
Scored
3,0
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+2,0
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 84%
100%
67%
Points per game
3,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
4,3
2,3
Scored
3,3
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+2,3
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Recent head-to-head meetings

22. Jul -25 Rīgas FS – Malmo FF 1–4

Match report

Malmo FF Rīgas FS
1–0 S. Haksabanovic ⚽
25′
Half-time 1–0
L. Johnsen 🔁
↦ O. Rosengren
46′
46′
🔁 P. Mares
↦ D. Ikaunieks
61′
🔁 D. Lemajic
↦ T. Wouter
64′
🟥 Jānis Ikaunieks
A. Sigurdsson 🔁
↦ T. Ali
69′
E. Ekong 🔁
↦ H. Bolin
69′
74′
🔁 B. Diedhiou
↦ R. Savalnieks
74′
🔁 S. Rakic
↦ S. Panic
A. Skogmar 🔁
↦ Busanello
75′
K. Busuladzic 🔁
↦ O. Berg
83′
87′
🔁 J. Porsan Clemente
↦ M. Talla
94′
🟨 Haruna Njie
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Malmo FF

4-4-2
30 R. Olsen G
19 C. Rosler D
18 P. Jansson D
5 A. Djuric D
25 Busanello D
17 J. Stryger D
7 O. Rosengren M
16 O. Berg M
38 H. Bolin M
29 S. Haksabanovic M
22 T. Ali M
Bench (12)
33 M. Ellborg
2 J. Karlsson
6 O. Lewicki
8 A. Sigurdsson
11 E. Ekong
13 M. Olsson
23 L. Johnsen
32 D. T. Gudjohnsen
34 Z. Loukili
35 N. Zatterstrom
37 A. Skogmar
40 K. Busuladzic

Coach: Endika Gavina

Rīgas FS

5-3-2
35 M. Maric G
11 R. Savalnieks D
30 H. Njie D
4 R. Veips D
43 Z. Lipuscek D
70 M. Talla M
10 J. Ikaunieks M
26 S. Panic M
18 D. Zelenkovs M
37 T. Wouter M
9 D. Ikaunieks F
Bench (11)
13 S. Vilkovs
16 J. Nerugals
8 L. Odisharia
21 E. Stuglis
22 D. Lemajic
25 P. Mares
27 R. Sibass
41 Y. Karashima
71 B. Diedhiou
77 J. Porsan Clemente
81 S. Rakic

Coach: Viktors Morozs

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Kooij · 92 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.