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Champions League
Referee: J Beaton
Ludogorets
T U S U U
3–1
Full-time
HNK Rijeka
U T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ludogorets HNK Rijeka
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,0
Scored
1,0
0,5
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 3/1 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
33%
0%
Both score Ø 17%
33%
0%
Average goals
1,7
0,0
Scored
1,0
0,0
Conceded
0,7
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Recent head-to-head meetings

22. Jul -25 HNK Rijeka – Ludogorets 0–0

Match report

Ludogorets HNK Rijeka
1–0 J. Piotrowski ⚽
19′
39′
🟨 Ante Oreč
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 G. Rukavina
↦ D. Petrovic
49′
🟨 Mladen Devetak
Son 🟨
50′
60′
🔁 D. Cop
↦ L. Menalo
60′
🔁 A. Gojak
↦ M. Ndockyt
M. Chouiar 🔁
↦ P. Stanic
61′
70′
🔁 J. Lasickas
↦ M. Devetak
71′
⚽ A. Gojak 1–1
J. Lasickas
J. Andersson 🔁
↦ A. Nedyalkov
72′
F. Kaloc 🔁
↦ B. Tekpetey
72′
77′
🟥 Gabriel Rukavina
S. Ivanov 🔁
↦ Caio Vidal
83′
I. Chochev 🔁
↦ Pedro Naressi
84′
84′
🔁 A. Husic
↦ T. Dantas
Olivier Verdon 🟨
91′
98′
🟥 Toni Fruk
E. Bile 🔁
↦ J. Piotrowski
107′
2–1 I. Chochev ⚽
E. Kurtulus
107′
111′
🔁 A. Juric
↦ A. Orec
112′
🟨 Justas Lasickas
3–1 S. Ivanov ⚽
M. Chouiar
117′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Ludogorets

4-3-3
39 H. Bonmann G
17 Son D
15 E. Kurtulus D
24 O. Verdon D
3 A. Nedyalkov D
37 B. Tekpetey M
6 J. Piotrowski M
30 Pedro Naressi M
77 Erick Marcus M
14 P. Stanic M
11 Caio Vidal M
Bench (12)
1 S. Padt
67 D. Hristov
2 J. Andersson
4 D. Almeida
8 M. Chouiar
18 I. Chochev
23 D. Duarte
26 F. Kaloc
29 E. Bile
42 S. Shishkov
73 F. Gigov
99 S. Ivanov

Coach: Per-Mathias Hogmo

HNK Rijeka

4-3-3
13 M. Zlomislic G
22 A. Orec D
45 A. Majstorovic D
6 S. Radeljic D
34 M. Devetak D
8 D. Petrovic M
4 N. Jankovic M
26 T. Dantas M
17 L. Menalo M
10 T. Fruk M
20 M. Ndockyt M
Bench (12)
99 A. Todorovic
2 L. Kitin
9 D. Cop
11 G. Rukavina
14 A. Gojak
15 J. Manev
23 J. Lasickas
25 D. Thaqi
27 S. Butic
51 A. Husic
64 D. Yankov
77 A. Juric

Coach: Victor Sanchez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Beaton · 161 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.