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Super League
Referee: I Papadopoulos
Panathinaikos
S S T U S
2–0
Full-time
Larisa
T T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panathinaikos Larisa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,2
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
1,3
0,5
Conceded
0,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-1,5
This season — Super League · 16/15 matches
Win Ø 23%
38%
7%
Points per game
1,4
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
25%
47%
Both score Ø 46%
38%
53%
Average goals
1,8
2,4
Scored
0,9
0,6
Conceded
0,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

52% Possession 48%
8 Shots 6
7 Shots on target 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
1 Corners 4
1 Offside 2
24 Free kicks against 20
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Panathinaikos 6. · Larisa 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 16 14 2 0 +37 44
2 Aris Thessalonikis 14 10 2 2 +13 32
3 Aris 14 10 2 2 +13 32
4 PAOK 16 9 4 3 +13 31
5 AEK 14 8 3 3 +8 27
6 Panathinaikos 16 6 4 6 +2 22
7 Asteras Tripolis 17 5 6 6 -5 21
8 Atromitos 16 4 7 5 -6 19
9 OFI Crete 17 5 4 8 -8 19
10 Volos NFC 18 4 7 7 -9 19
11 Giannina 16 3 6 7 -4 15
12 Apollon 16 4 3 9 -5 15
13 Panetolikos 17 2 5 10 -12 11
14 Larisa 15 1 5 9 -18 8
15 Lamia 14 2 2 10 -19 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Panathinaikos Larisa
21′
🟨 Radomir Milosavljević
1–0 Carlitos López
36′
Half-time 1–0
51′
🟨 Steliano Filip
T. Chatzigiovanis 🔁
↦ A. Athanasakopoulos
60′
60′
🔁 N. Trujić
↦ R. Milosavljević
60′
🔁 M. Bertos
↦ N. Žižić
Fran Vélez 🟨
75′
I. Bouzoukis 🔁
↦ Aitor Cantalapiedra
79′
A. Kampetsis 🔁
↦ Carlitos López
79′
Bart Schenkeveld 🟨
84′
84′
🟨 Nikola Trujić
85′
🔁 M. Nunič
↦ F. Durmishaj
D. Emmanouilidis 🔁
↦ F. Ioannidis
87′
D. Serpezis 🔁
↦ S. Alexandropoulos
87′
2–0 D. Emmanouilidis
A. Kampetsis
94′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Panathinaikos

4-2-3-1
1 S. Dioudis G
5 B. Schenkeveld D
4 Fran Vélez D
3 Juan Carlos D
44 A. Poungouras D
58 Y. Mollo M
55 S. Alexandropoulos M
37 A. Athanasakopoulos
10 Carlitos López F
22 Aitor Cantalapiedra F
27 F. Ioannidis F
Bench (9)
11 T. Chatzigiovanis
18 I. Bouzoukis
99 A. Kampetsis
17 D. Emmanouilidis
20 D. Serpezis
59 C. Konan
12 I. Chatzitheodoridis
38 D. Karagiannis
15 V. Xenopoulos

Coach: L. Bölöni

Larisa

3-5-2
19 V. Bajić G
5 A. Michail D
15 U. Ćosić D
16 N. Žižić D
7 S. Filip D
6 T. Sparv M
30 A. Colombino M
88 A. Nikolias M
8 R. Milosavljević M
9 F. Durmishaj F
17 D. Pinakas F
Bench (9)
92 N. Trujić
25 M. Bertos
33 M. Nunič
44 N. Gkotzamanidis
14 S. Glinos
28 A. Stoinovic
23 G. Maidanos
1 G. Nagy
4 T. Iliadis

Coach: G. Tatsis

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,55
U
3,76
B
5,97
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,32
U2,5 ✓
1,58
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

I Papadopoulos · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
32,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.