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Super League

Referee: A Sidiropoulos

Aris Thessalonikis

S T S U T

0–1

Full-time

Panathinaikos

T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aris Thessalonikis Panathinaikos

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

17%

Both score Ø 9%

17%

Average goals

1,5

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

0,5

0,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,8

This season — Super League · 16/18 matches

Win Ø 54%

63%

44%

Points per game

2,1

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 30%

38%

22%

Both score Ø 29%

25%

33%

Average goals

2,0

1,7

Scored

1,4

1,0

Conceded

0,6

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

68% Possession 32%

13 Shots 5

7 Shots on target 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 6

9 Corners 0

18 Free kicks against 18

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aris Thessalonikis 4. · Panathinaikos 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	18	15	3	0	+38	48
2	AEK	17	11	3	3	+11	36
3	PAOK	18	10	5	3	+16	35
4	Aris Thessalonikis	16	10	3	3	+12	33
5	Aris	17	10	3	4	+11	33
6	Panathinaikos	18	8	4	6	+5	28
7	Asteras Tripolis	18	6	6	6	-3	24
8	Atromitos	17	5	7	5	-5	22
9	Volos NFC	19	4	8	7	-9	20
10	OFI Crete	18	5	4	9	-11	19
11	Apollon	17	5	3	9	-4	18
12	Giannina	19	3	8	8	-5	17
13	Panetolikos	18	2	5	11	-14	11
14	Lamia	17	2	3	12	-21	9
15	Larisa	17	1	5	11	-21	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	9	9	0	0	+23	27
2	PAOK	8	6	2	0	+10	20
3	Aris Thessalonikis	8	5	1	2	+5	16
4	Aris	9	5	1	3	+4	16
5	Atromitos	10	4	4	2	+1	16
6	AEK	8	4	3	1	+7	15
7	Panathinaikos	9	4	2	3	+3	14
8	Asteras Tripolis	8	4	2	2	+1	14
9	Volos NFC	9	2	4	3	-3	10
10	OFI Crete	10	2	3	5	-10	9
11	Giannina	9	1	5	3	-2	8
12	Lamia	10	2	2	6	-9	8
13	Panetolikos	9	2	1	6	-6	7
14	Apollon	7	1	1	5	-5	4
15	Larisa	9	0	4	5	-10	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	9	6	3	0	+15	21
2	AEK	9	7	0	2	+4	21
3	Aris Thessalonikis	8	5	2	1	+7	17
4	Aris	8	5	2	1	+7	17
5	PAOK	10	4	3	3	+6	15
6	Panathinaikos	9	4	2	3	+2	14
7	Apollon	10	4	2	4	+1	14
8	OFI Crete	8	3	1	4	-1	10
9	Asteras Tripolis	10	2	4	4	-4	10
10	Volos NFC	10	2	4	4	-6	10
11	Giannina	10	2	3	5	-3	9
12	Atromitos	7	1	3	3	-6	6
13	Panetolikos	9	0	4	5	-8	4
14	Larisa	8	1	1	6	-11	4
15	Lamia	7	0	1	6	-12	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.