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Süper Lig
Referee: A Palabıyık
Galatasaray
S S U U U
3–2
Full-time
Sivasspor
U U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Galatasaray Sivasspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
1,7
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
This season — Süper Lig · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 36%
29%
43%
Points per game
1,4
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
14%
57%
Both score Ø 65%
43%
86%
Average goals
1,7
2,7
Scored
0,9
1,7
Conceded
0,9
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

66% Possession 34%
19 Shots 16
8 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 3
2 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 20
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Galatasaray 10. · Sivasspor 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Alanyaspor 7 4 2 1 +5 14
2 Sivasspor 7 3 3 1 +5 12
3 Trabzonspor 7 3 3 1 +4 12
4 Konyaspor 7 3 3 1 +4 12
5 Fenerbahce 7 3 2 2 +4 11
6 Buyuksehyr 7 3 2 2 +3 11
7 Antalyaspor 7 3 2 2 +0 11
8 Gaziantep 7 3 2 2 -1 11
9 Yeni Malatyaspor 7 3 1 3 +6 10
10 Galatasaray 7 2 4 1 +0 10
11 Goztep 7 2 3 2 +1 9
12 Besiktas 7 2 2 3 -2 8
13 Denizlispor 7 2 2 3 -2 8
14 Rizespor 7 2 2 3 -5 8
15 Ankaragücü 7 2 2 3 -5 8
16 Kasimpasa 7 2 1 4 -4 7
17 Genclerbirligi 7 0 3 4 -6 3
18 Kayserispor 7 0 3 4 -7 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Galatasaray Sivasspor
1–0 F. Andone
21′
Christian Luyindama 🟨
24′
31′
🟨 Fernando
32′
🟨 Mustapha Yatabare
2–0 F. Andone
42′
45′
🟨 Isaac Cofie
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 A. Koné
↦ Fernando
48′
🟨 Isaac Cofie
48′
🟥 Isaac Cofie
Florin Andone 🟨
62′
69′
A. Koné 2–1
U. Çiftçi
3–1 R. Babel
Ö. Bayram
74′
J. Seri 🔁
↦ E. Taşdemir
75′
R. Donk 🔁
↦ C. Luyindama
75′
Ömer Bayram 🟨
78′
82′
🔁 E. Yeşilyurt
↦ M. Yatabaré
Y. Akgün 🔁
↦ Y. Belhanda
83′
84′
E. Yeşilyurt 3–2
E. Kılınç
Yunus Akgün 🟨
85′
86′
🔁 A. Đerlek
↦ M. Yandaş
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Galatasaray

4-1-4-1
1 F. Muslera G
19 Ö. Bayram M
2 Ş. Özbayraklı D
3 E. Taşdemir D
45 Marcão Teixeira D
27 C. Luyindama D
92 S. Nzonzi M
10 Y. Belhanda M
97 E. Mor M
11 R. Babel M
23 F. Andone F
Bench (10)
6 J. Seri
15 R. Donk
17 Y. Akgün
48 T. Antalyalı
5 A. Çalık
34 O. Kocuk
21 J. Durmaz
55 Y. Nagatomo
7 A. Büyük
8 S. İnan

Coach: F. Terim

Sivasspor

4-2-3-1
30 M. Samassa G
88 C. Osmanpaşa D
3 U. Çiftçi D
87 Marcelo Goiano D
4 A. Appindangoye D
37 H. Arslan M
5 I. Cofie M
54 E. Kılınç M
8 M. Yandaş M
9 M. Yatabaré F
7 Fernando M
Bench (10)
2 A. Koné
11 E. Yeşilyurt
22 A. Đerlek
20 F. Aksoy
12 Abdou Razak Traoré
29 A. Vural
6 P. Papp
1 M. Yıldırım
10 Hugo Vieira
58 Z. Erdal

Coach: R. Çalımbay

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,55
U
4,21
B
5,45
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,60
U2,5
2,30
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Palabıyık · 39 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,46 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.