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La Liga
Referee: Javier Estrada
Granada
S S U S T
1–0
Full-time
Osasuna
U U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Granada Osasuna
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,2
This season — La Liga · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 38%
50%
25%
Points per game
1,8
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 32%
38%
25%
Both score Ø 44%
38%
50%
Average goals
3,1
1,8
Scored
1,9
0,9
Conceded
1,3
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

43% Possession 57%
6 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 7
2 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 8
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Granada 4. · Osasuna 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 8 5 3 0 +8 18
2 Barcelona 8 5 1 2 +10 16
3 Ath Madrid 8 4 3 1 +3 15
4 Granada 8 4 2 2 +5 14
5 Sociedad 8 4 1 3 +4 13
6 Sevilla 8 4 1 3 -1 13
7 Ath Bilbao 8 3 3 2 +3 12
8 Valencia 8 3 3 2 +0 12
9 Villarreal 8 3 2 3 +6 11
10 Levante 8 3 2 3 +0 11
11 Osasuna 8 2 5 1 +0 11
12 Getafe 8 2 4 2 +0 10
13 Valladolid 8 2 4 2 -1 10
14 Eibar 8 2 3 3 +0 9
15 Celta 8 2 3 3 -4 9
16 Betis 8 2 3 3 -5 9
17 Alaves 8 2 2 4 -4 8
18 Mallorca 8 2 1 5 -6 7
19 Espanol 8 1 2 5 -10 5
20 Leganes 8 0 2 6 -8 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Granada Osasuna
12′
🟨 Pervis Estupinan
24′
🟨 Brandon
Carlos Fernández 🟨
27′
1–0 Domingos Duarte
Vadillo
38′
40′
🟨 Chimy Ávila
Half-time 1–0
54′
🟨 Oier
R. Azeez 🔁
↦ Soldado
59′
62′
🔁 Fran Mérida
↦ Oier
Álex Martínez 🟨
65′
66′
🔁 Adrián
↦ Brandon
D. Machís 🔁
↦ Vadillo
67′
77′
🔁 Juan Villar
↦ D. Brašanac
78′
🟨 Aridane Hernandez
A. Ramos 🔁
↦ Carlos Fernández
85′
90′
🟨 Fran Mérida
90′
🟨 Fran Mérida
90′
🟨 Jon Moncayola
90′
🟥 Fran Mérida
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Granada

4-2-3-1
1 Rui Silva G
16 Víctor Díaz D
22 Domingos Duarte D
5 José Antonio Martinez D
15 Carlos Neva D
21 Yangel Herrera M
4 Maxime Gonalons M
10 Antonio Puertas M
24 Carlos Fernández M
7 Álvaro Vadillo M
9 Roberto Soldado F
Bench (7)
13 Aarón Escandell
3 Álex Martínez
11 İsmail Köybaşı
12 Ramon Azeez
8 Yan Brice
20 Adrián Ramos
23 Darwin Machís

Coach: Diego Martínez

Osasuna

4-2-3-1
13 Rubén Martínez G
2 Nacho Vidal D
23 Aridane Hernandez D
12 Facundo Roncaglia D
30 Pervis Estupinan D
6 Oier M
27 Jon Moncayola M
10 Roberto Torres M
20 Darko Brašanac M
11 Brandon M
9 Chimy Ávila F
Bench (7)
1 Sergio Herrera
3 Raúl Navas
8 Fran Mérida
28 Luis Perea
22 Adrián López
18 Juan Villar
7 Marc Cardona

Coach: Arrasate

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,40
U
3,01
B
3,38
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,62
U2,5 ✓
1,48
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Javier Estrada · 42 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.