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Bundesliga
Referee: C Dingert
Ein Frankfurt
S T U S U
3–0
Full-time
Leverkusen
U T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ein Frankfurt Leverkusen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
3,3
2,5
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,5
This season — Bundesliga · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 50%
43%
57%
Points per game
1,6
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 72%
86%
57%
Both score Ø 65%
86%
43%
Average goals
3,0
2,9
Scored
1,6
1,7
Conceded
1,4
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

34% Possession 66%
10 Shots 19
5 Shots on target 10
2 Blocked shots 2
10 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 1
4 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ein Frankfurt 9. · Leverkusen 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 M'gladbach 7 5 1 1 +9 16
2 Wolfsburg 7 4 3 0 +6 15
3 Bayern Munich 7 4 2 1 +12 14
4 Freiburg 7 4 2 1 +8 14
5 RB Leipzig 7 4 2 1 +8 14
6 Schalke 04 7 4 2 1 +7 14
7 Leverkusen 7 4 2 1 +4 14
8 Dortmund 7 3 3 1 +8 12
9 Ein Frankfurt 7 3 2 2 +1 11
10 Hertha 7 3 1 3 +0 10
11 Werder Bremen 7 2 2 3 -4 8
12 Hoffenheim 7 2 2 3 -5 8
13 Mainz 7 2 0 5 -10 6
14 Augsburg 7 1 2 4 -11 5
15 Fortuna Dusseldorf 7 1 1 5 -5 4
16 Union Berlin 7 1 1 5 -7 4
17 FC Koln 7 1 1 5 -11 4
18 Paderborn 7 0 1 6 -10 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ein Frankfurt Leverkusen
1–0 Gonçalo Paciência
D. da Costa
4′
16′
🟨 Aleksandar Dragović
2–0 Gonçalo Paciência
16′
D. Abraham 🔁
↦ A. Touré
30′
30′
🔁 K. Bellarabi
↦ M. Weiser
Gelson Fernandes 🟨
44′
Half-time 2–0
64′
🔁 L. Bender
↦ Wendell
3–0 B. Dost
F. Kostić
80′
82′
🔁 M. Diaby
↦ L. Alario
D. Kohr 🔁
↦ D. Sow
84′
M. Gaćinović 🔁
↦ B. Dost
85′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Ein Frankfurt

3-1-4-2
32 F. Rønnow G
20 M. Hasebe D
13 M. Hinteregger D
24 D. da Costa M
18 A. Touré D
5 G. Fernandes M
17 S. Rode M
10 F. Kostić M
8 D. Sow M
9 B. Dost F
39 Gonçalo Paciência F
Bench (9)
19 D. Abraham
28 D. Kohr
11 M. Gaćinović
22 T. Chandler
7 D. Joveljić
15 D. Kamada
2 O. N'Dicka
29 F. Wiedwald
25 E. Durm

Coach: A. Hütter

Leverkusen

3-4-2-1
1 L. Hrádecký G
5 S. Bender D
6 A. Dragović D
23 M. Weiser M
18 Wendell D
15 J. Baumgartlinger M
10 K. Demirbay M
11 N. Amiri F
29 K. Havertz F
31 K. Volland M
13 L. Alario F
Bench (8)
38 K. Bellarabi
8 L. Bender
19 M. Diaby
3 P. Retsos
4 J. Tah
28 R. Özcan
7 Paulinho
17 J. Pohjanpalo

Coach: P. Bosz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,85
U
3,79
B
2,32
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,52
U2,5
2,52
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

C Dingert · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.