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Süper Lig
Referee: A Kardeşler
1–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Yeni Malatyaspor Galatasaray
Last 6 — all competitions · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
100%
25%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,8
2,5
Scored
2,5
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,0
This season — Süper Lig · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
100%
25%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,8
2,5
Scored
2,5
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

51% Possession 49%
16 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 3
2 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Yeni Malatyaspor 7. · Galatasaray 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Alanyaspor 5 4 1 0 +7 13
2 Fenerbahce 5 3 1 1 +5 10
3 Gaziantep 5 3 1 1 +0 10
4 Denizlispor 5 2 2 1 +3 8
5 Rizespor 5 2 2 1 +1 8
6 Galatasaray 4 2 1 1 +0 7
7 Yeni Malatyaspor 4 2 0 2 +5 6
8 Trabzonspor 4 1 3 0 +1 6
9 Konyaspor 5 1 3 1 +0 6
10 Sivasspor 4 1 2 1 +2 5
11 Goztep 5 1 2 2 -3 5
12 Antalyaspor 5 1 2 2 -4 5
13 Ankaragücü 5 1 2 2 -4 5
14 Besiktas 4 1 1 2 -1 4
15 Kasimpasa 5 1 1 3 -2 4
16 Buyuksehyr 4 1 1 2 -3 4
17 Kayserispor 5 0 3 2 -2 3
18 Genclerbirligi 5 0 2 3 -5 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Yeni Malatyaspor Galatasaray
23′
J. Seri 0–1
Ö. Bayram
Afriyie Acquah 🟨
32′
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 M. Lemina
↦ Y. Nagatomo
M. Fofana 🔁
↦ R. Çağıran
59′
63′
🟨 Ömer Bayram
77′
🟨 Adem Büyük
E. Tozlu 🔁
↦ M. Donald
79′
84′
🔁 J. Durmaz
↦ F. Andone
1–1 Guilherme
A. Jahović
89′
90′
🟨 Şener Özbayraklı
90′
🔁 R. Falcao
↦ J. Seri
A. Mina 🔁
↦ Guilherme
91′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Yeni Malatyaspor

4-2-3-1
30 F. Farnolle G
91 S. Aytaç D
15 M. Akbaş D
29 I. Chebake D
20 M. Donald M
66 Guilherme M
19 A. Acquah M
6 R. Yalçın D
77 R. Çağıran M
25 G. Chalali M
18 A. Jahović F
Bench (9)
21 M. Fofana
11 E. Tozlu
44 A. Mina
76 Ö. Özdemir
8 M. Yıldırım
35 U. Ceylan
16 T. Hadebe
3 E. Kaş
14 A. Ildız

Coach: S. Yalçın

Galatasaray

4-1-4-1
1 F. Muslera G
55 Y. Nagatomo D
19 Ö. Bayram M
2 Ş. Özbayraklı D
45 Marcão Teixeira D
27 C. Luyindama D
92 S. Nzonzi M
6 J. Seri M
11 R. Babel M
7 A. Büyük M
23 F. Andone F
Bench (10)
99 M. Lemina
21 J. Durmaz
9 R. Falcao
34 O. Kocuk
3 E. Taşdemir
48 T. Antalyalı
15 R. Donk
5 A. Çalık
22 Mariano
97 E. Mor

Coach: F. Terim

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,99
U ✓
3,63
B
1,85
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,77
U2,5 ✓
2,04
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Kardeşler · 98 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.