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Süper Lig

Referee: Huseyin Gocek

Karagumruk

T U T S U

1–1

Full-time

Sivasspor

U S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Karagumruk Sivasspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,2

2,3

Scored

1,8

1,2

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,0

This season — Süper Lig · 8/7 matches

Win Ø 34%

38%

29%

Points per game

1,5

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

63%

43%

Both score Ø 60%

63%

57%

Average goals

3,3

2,3

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

59% Possession 41%

19 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 3

7 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 5

0 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 16

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Karagumruk 5. · Sivasspor 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Alanyaspor	7	5	2	0	+13	17
2	Fenerbahce	8	5	2	1	+4	17
3	Galatasaray	8	5	1	2	+5	16
4	Buyuksehyr	8	4	1	3	+2	13
5	Karagumruk	8	3	3	2	+6	12
6	Kasimpasa	8	3	3	2	+2	12
7	Rizespor	7	3	2	2	+2	11
8	Gaziantep	8	2	5	1	+1	11
9	Yeni Malatyaspor	8	3	2	3	-2	11
10	Hatayspor	6	3	2	1	-2	11
11	Besiktas	7	3	1	3	-2	10
12	Konyaspor	7	2	3	2	+3	9
13	Antalyaspor	8	2	3	3	-3	9
14	Goztep	7	1	5	1	+3	8
15	Sivasspor	7	2	2	3	-2	8
16	Erzurumspor	7	2	2	3	-3	8
17	Trabzonspor	8	1	3	4	-5	6
18	Kayserispor	7	2	0	5	-6	6
19	Genclerbirligi	7	1	2	4	-4	5
20	Denizlispor	7	1	2	4	-7	5
21	Ankaragücü	6	0	2	4	-5	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Alanyaspor	4	3	1	0	+10	10
2	Karagumruk	4	3	1	0	+9	10
3	Yeni Malatyaspor	4	3	1	0	+4	10
4	Gaziantep	4	2	2	0	+3	8
5	Kasimpasa	4	2	2	0	+3	8
6	Buyuksehyr	4	2	1	1	+3	7
7	Hatayspor	3	2	1	0	+3	7
8	Rizespor	4	2	1	1	+2	7
9	Antalyaspor	4	2	1	1	+2	7
10	Galatasaray	4	2	1	1	+2	7
11	Fenerbahce	4	2	1	1	+1	7
12	Goztep	3	1	1	1	+3	4
13	Konyaspor	3	1	1	1	+2	4
14	Besiktas	3	1	1	1	+0	4
15	Trabzonspor	4	1	0	3	-3	3
16	Kayserispor	4	1	0	3	-4	3
17	Denizlispor	3	0	2	1	-1	2
18	Genclerbirligi	3	0	2	1	-1	2
19	Erzurumspor	4	0	2	2	-2	2
20	Ankaragücü	3	0	1	2	-2	1
21	Sivasspor	4	0	1	3	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	4	3	1	0	+3	10
2	Galatasaray	4	3	0	1	+3	9
3	Sivasspor	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Alanyaspor	3	2	1	0	+3	7
5	Erzurumspor	3	2	0	1	-1	6
6	Buyuksehyr	4	2	0	2	-1	6
7	Besiktas	4	2	0	2	-2	6
8	Konyaspor	4	1	2	1	+1	5
9	Goztep	4	0	4	0	+0	4
10	Rizespor	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Kasimpasa	4	1	1	2	-1	4
12	Hatayspor	3	1	1	1	-5	4
13	Gaziantep	4	0	3	1	-2	3
14	Trabzonspor	4	0	3	1	-2	3
15	Kayserispor	3	1	0	2	-2	3
16	Genclerbirligi	4	1	0	3	-3	3
17	Denizlispor	4	1	0	3	-6	3
18	Karagumruk	4	0	2	2	-3	2
19	Antalyaspor	4	0	2	2	-5	2
20	Ankaragücü	3	0	1	2	-3	1
21	Yeni Malatyaspor	4	0	1	3	-6	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.