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Süper Lig
Referee: Tugay Kaan Numanoglu
Karagumruk
T S U S U
1–1
Full-time
Goztep
T U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Karagumruk Goztep
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
1,3
4,0
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
0,5
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,7
This season — Süper Lig · 33/34 matches
Win Ø 37%
39%
35%
Points per game
1,5
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
55%
50%
Both score Ø 62%
61%
62%
Average goals
2,6
2,9
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

51% Possession 49%
8 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 7
2 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Karagumruk 9. · Goztep 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Besiktas 33 22 5 6 +37 71
2 Fenerbahce 34 21 6 7 +27 69
3 Galatasaray 33 20 5 8 +33 65
4 Trabzonspor 34 16 11 7 +9 59
5 Alanyaspor 34 15 7 12 +15 52
6 Gaziantep 33 13 12 8 +10 51
7 Hatayspor 33 14 8 11 +13 50
8 Sivasspor 33 12 14 7 +7 50
9 Karagumruk 33 13 10 10 +9 49
10 Goztep 34 12 10 12 +3 46
11 Rizespor 34 10 12 12 -10 42
12 Antalyaspor 34 9 15 10 -10 42
13 Konyaspor 34 10 11 13 -3 41
14 Yeni Malatyaspor 33 8 13 12 -5 37
15 Ankaragücü 33 10 7 16 -12 37
16 Kasimpasa 34 9 10 15 -13 37
17 Kayserispor 33 8 10 15 -17 34
18 Buyuksehyr 33 8 9 16 -17 33
19 Erzurumspor 34 7 10 17 -23 31
20 Genclerbirligi 33 8 7 18 -26 31
21 Denizlispor 33 6 8 19 -27 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

26. Dec -20 Goztep – Karagumruk 1–1

Match report

Karagumruk Goztep
1–0 M. Erdinç
A. Ndao
32′
39′
🟨 Obinna Nwobodo
Half-time 1–0
57′
🔁 A. Jahović
↦ Z. Tripić
57′
🔁 P. Žulj
↦ B. Ideye
V. Arveladze 🔁
↦ M. Pehlivan
61′
65′
🔁 H. Akbunar
↦ F. Diabaté
65′
🔁 S. Aydoğdu
↦ A. Esiti
L. Biglia 🔁
↦ M. Erdinç
73′
84′
B. Emir 1–1
86′
🔁 S. Napoleoni
↦ C. Ndiaye
Serhat Ahmetoglu 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Karagumruk

3-5-1-1
93 A. Özer G
26 V. Hedenstad D
22 F. Kuruçuk D
77 J. Lens M
71 J. Durmaz D
23 A. Aktaş M
17 M. Pehlivan M
18 A. Ndao M
11 M. Erdinç F
19 Y. Salibur F
27 S. Ahmetoğlu M
Bench (8)
24 V. Arveladze
6 L. Biglia
25 Y. Genç
76 Y. Erdoğan
16 F. Borini
64 Ö. Ersoy
66 B. Öztürk
67 A. Aslan

Coach: D. Sassarini

Goztep

4-4-2
13 A. Özçimen G
20 L. Gassama D
41 B. Emir D
77 M. Paluli D
2 K. Alıcı D
11 Z. Tripić M
44 A. Esiti M
60 O. Nwobodo M
22 B. Ideye F
29 F. Diabaté M
9 C. Ndiaye F
Bench (10)
18 A. Jahović
32 P. Žulj
7 H. Akbunar
8 S. Aydoğdu
99 S. Napoleoni
70 İ. Eğribayat
30 Y. Kayan
80 B. Şimşek
6 K. Sönmez
16 B. Megyeri

Coach: Ü. Karaman

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,73
U ✓
3,39
B
2,47
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,72
U2,5 ✓
2,10
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Tugay Kaan Numanoglu · 18 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.