← Match Finder
Bundesliga
Referee: G Winkmann
Bayern Munich
S S S U S
2–0
Full-time
Leverkusen
T T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Bayern Munich Leverkusen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,7
2,2
Scored
2,7
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 59%
72%
45%
Points per game
2,3
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
79%
59%
Both score Ø 68%
76%
59%
Average goals
4,2
2,8
Scored
2,9
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,1
Goal diff per game
+1,6
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

61% Possession 39%
26 Shots 6
9 Shots on target 3
9 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 6
7 Corners 3
3 Offside 3
6 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bayern Munich 1. · Leverkusen 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 29 21 5 3 +45 68
2 RB Leipzig 30 18 7 5 +28 61
3 Wolfsburg 29 15 9 5 +22 54
4 Ein Frankfurt 29 14 11 4 +15 53
5 Dortmund 29 15 4 10 +20 49
6 Leverkusen 29 13 8 8 +16 47
7 M'gladbach 29 11 10 8 +9 43
8 Union Berlin 29 10 13 6 +9 43
9 Freiburg 29 11 7 11 +2 40
10 Stuttgart 29 10 9 10 +5 39
11 Augsburg 29 9 6 14 -13 33
12 Hoffenheim 29 8 8 13 -6 32
13 Werder Bremen 29 7 9 13 -14 30
14 Mainz 28 7 7 14 -18 28
15 Bielefeld 29 7 6 16 -24 27
16 Hertha 28 6 8 14 -14 26
17 FC Koln 30 6 8 16 -25 26
18 Schalke 04 29 2 7 20 -57 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bayern Munich Leverkusen
1–0 E. Choupo-Moting
7′
2–0 J. Kimmich
13′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 K. Bellarabi
↦ M. Diaby
46′
🔁 F. Wirtz
↦ J. Frimpong
60′
🔁 K. Demirbay
↦ C. Aránguiz
L. Sané 🔁
↦ K. Coman
63′
L. Goretzka 🔁
↦ T. Müller
63′
T. Nianzou 🔁
↦ J. Boateng
63′
70′
🔁 N. Amiri
↦ S. Bender
B. Sarr 🔁
↦ B. Pavard
82′
C. Scott 🔁
↦ J. Musiala
82′
83′
🔁 Wendell
↦ D. Sinkgraven
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Bayern Munich

4-2-3-1
1 M. Neuer G
17 J. Boateng D
27 D. Alaba M
21 L. Hernández D
5 B. Pavard D
19 A. Davies D
6 J. Kimmich M
42 J. Musiala M
13 E. Choupo-Moting F
25 T. Müller M
29 K. Coman M
Bench (9)
10 L. Sané
18 L. Goretzka
23 T. Nianzou
20 B. Sarr
32 C. Scott
44 J. Stanišić
35 A. Nübel
28 Tiago Dantas
8 Javi Martínez

Coach: H. Flick

Leverkusen

3-4-2-1
1 L. Hrádecký G
5 S. Bender D
4 J. Tah D
22 D. Sinkgraven M
30 J. Frimpong M
12 E. Tapsoba D
20 C. Aránguiz M
25 E. Palacios M
14 P. Schick F
9 L. Bailey F
19 M. Diaby F
Bench (9)
38 K. Bellarabi
27 F. Wirtz
10 K. Demirbay
11 N. Amiri
18 Wendell
21 L. Grill
16 T. Jedvaj
6 A. Dragović
13 L. Alario

Coach: H. Wolf

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,45
U
4,96
B
6,48
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,37
U2,5 ✓
3,06
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Winkmann · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.