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2. Bundesliga

Erzgebirge Aue

U T S U T

0–1

Full-time

Nurnberg

T U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Erzgebirge Aue Nurnberg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,7

2,5

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,2

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 33%

36%

29%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

54%

46%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

68%

Average goals

2,8

Scored

1,3

Conceded

1,4

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

6 Shots 21

0 Shots on target 10

1 Corners 3

15 Free kicks against 5

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Erzgebirge Aue 10. · Nurnberg 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bochum	29	18	3	8	+21	57
2	Greuther Furth	28	14	9	5	+19	51
3	Hamburg	28	14	8	6	+22	50
4	Heidenheim	29	14	6	9	+8	48
5	Holstein Kiel	26	13	7	6	+14	46
6	Fortuna Dusseldorf	28	13	7	8	+5	46
7	St Pauli	29	12	8	9	+4	44
8	Karlsruhe	27	12	6	9	+6	42
9	Paderborn	29	10	9	10	+4	39
10	Erzgebirge Aue	28	10	7	11	-3	37
11	Hannover	28	10	6	12	+4	36
12	Darmstadt	29	10	6	13	-2	36
13	Regensburg	28	8	10	10	-7	34
14	Nurnberg	28	8	9	11	-6	33
15	Braunschweig	29	7	9	13	-19	30
16	Osnabruck	29	7	5	17	-23	26
17	Sandhausen	27	7	4	16	-18	25
18	Wurzburger Kickers	29	5	5	19	-29	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bochum	15	10	2	3	+18	32
2	Heidenheim	14	9	3	2	+14	30
3	Hamburg	14	8	3	3	+17	27
4	Fortuna Dusseldorf	13	8	3	2	+6	27
5	Paderborn	14	7	4	3	+7	25
6	Erzgebirge Aue	14	7	4	3	+6	25
7	St Pauli	15	7	3	5	+3	24
8	Holstein Kiel	12	7	2	3	+5	23
9	Hannover	14	6	4	4	+8	22
10	Sandhausen	14	6	4	4	+3	22
11	Braunschweig	15	6	4	5	-3	22
12	Greuther Furth	13	6	3	4	+6	21
13	Regensburg	15	5	5	5	-1	20
14	Darmstadt	15	5	3	7	+0	18
15	Nurnberg	14	4	5	5	-3	17
16	Karlsruhe	14	4	4	6	+0	16
17	Wurzburger Kickers	14	3	5	6	-7	14
18	Osnabruck	15	2	1	12	-17	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Greuther Furth	15	8	6	1	+13	30
2	Karlsruhe	13	8	2	3	+6	26
3	Bochum	14	8	1	5	+3	25
4	Holstein Kiel	14	6	5	3	+9	23
5	Hamburg	14	6	5	3	+5	23
6	St Pauli	14	5	5	4	+1	20
7	Fortuna Dusseldorf	15	5	4	6	-1	19
8	Osnabruck	14	5	4	5	-6	19
9	Darmstadt	14	5	3	6	-2	18
10	Heidenheim	15	5	3	7	-6	18
11	Nurnberg	14	4	4	6	-3	16
12	Paderborn	15	3	5	7	-3	14
13	Hannover	14	4	2	8	-4	14
14	Regensburg	13	3	5	5	-6	14
15	Erzgebirge Aue	14	3	3	8	-9	12
16	Braunschweig	14	1	5	8	-16	8
17	Wurzburger Kickers	15	2	0	13	-22	6
18	Sandhausen	13	1	0	12	-21	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.