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Premier League
Referee: S Attwell
Chelsea
S S U T S
0–0
Full-time
Brighton
T S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Chelsea Brighton
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,2
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,2
This season — Premier League · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 36%
48%
23%
Points per game
1,7
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
45%
48%
Both score Ø 49%
42%
55%
Average goals
2,6
2,3
Scored
1,6
1,1
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

64% Possession 36%
7 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
0 Corners 3
3 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Chelsea 5. · Brighton 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Man City 32 23 5 4 +44 74
2 Man United 32 19 9 4 +29 66
3 Leicester 31 17 5 9 +18 56
4 West Ham 32 16 7 9 +11 55
5 Chelsea 31 15 9 7 +19 54
6 Liverpool 32 15 8 9 +16 53
7 Tottenham 32 14 8 10 +17 50
8 Everton 31 14 7 10 +3 49
9 Arsenal 32 13 7 12 +8 46
10 Leeds 32 14 4 14 +0 46
11 Aston Villa 30 13 5 12 +10 44
12 Wolves 32 11 8 13 -9 41
13 Crystal Palace 31 10 8 13 -19 38
14 Southampton 31 10 6 15 -17 36
15 Newcastle 32 9 8 15 -18 35
16 Brighton 31 7 12 12 -5 33
17 Burnley 32 8 9 15 -19 33
18 Fulham 33 5 12 16 -18 27
19 West Brom 31 5 9 17 -31 24
20 Sheffield United 32 4 2 26 -39 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Chelsea Brighton
Kurt Zouma 🟨
35′
Jorginho 🟨
35′
Half-time 0–0
60′
🔁 A. Lallana
↦ L. Trossard
C. Hudson-Odoi 🔁
↦ Marcos Alonso
67′
T. Werner 🔁
↦ K. Havertz
67′
73′
🟨 Ben White
74′
🔁 N. Maupay
↦ A. Mac Allister
O. Giroud 🔁
↦ H. Ziyech
77′
86′
🔁 J. Moder
↦ D. Welbeck
90′
🟨 Ben White
90′
🟥 Ben White
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Chelsea

3-4-3
1 Kepa G
3 Marcos Alonso M
15 K. Zouma D
2 A. Rüdiger D
4 A. Christensen D
24 R. James M
5 Jorginho M
22 H. Ziyech F
19 M. Mount M
10 C. Pulisic F
29 K. Havertz F
Bench (9)
20 C. Hudson-Odoi
11 T. Werner
18 O. Giroud
21 B. Chilwell
23 B. Gilmour
28 Azpilicueta
16 E. Mendy
7 N. Kanté
33 Emerson

Coach: T. Tuchel

Brighton

3-1-4-2
26 Robert Sánchez G
4 A. Webster D
34 J. Veltman M
33 D. Burn M
5 L. Dunk D
3 B. White D
13 P. Groß M
8 Y. Bissouma M
10 A. Mac Allister M
18 D. Welbeck F
11 L. Trossard F
Bench (9)
14 A. Lallana
9 N. Maupay
15 J. Moder
24 D. Pröpper
29 A. Zeqiri
17 S. Alzate
19 J. Izquierdo
16 A. Jahanbakhsh
23 J. Steele

Coach: G. Potter

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,61
U ✓
3,85
B
6,26
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,16
U2,5 ✓
1,71
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Attwell · 153 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.