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Championship

Referee: T Robinson

Norwich

U U S S T

0–1

Full-time

Watford

S S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Norwich Watford

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,8

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,0

2,3

Scored

2,2

1,8

Conceded

0,8

0,5

Goal diff per game

+1,3

This season — Championship · 42/42 matches

Win Ø 61%

64%

57%

Points per game

2,1

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 36%

40%

31%

Both score Ø 43%

48%

38%

Average goals

2,3

2,1

Scored

1,6

1,4

Conceded

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%

14 Shots 23

2 Shots on target 5

9 Blocked shots 7

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 13

1 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Norwich 1. · Watford 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Norwich	42	27	9	6	+35	90
2	Watford	42	24	10	8	+31	82
3	Bournemouth	41	21	11	9	+29	74
4	Barnsley	40	21	8	11	+12	71
5	Brentford	39	19	13	7	+30	70
6	Swansea	39	20	9	10	+15	69
7	Reading	42	19	10	13	+11	67
8	Cardiff	42	16	12	14	+12	60
9	Millwall	42	14	17	11	+1	59
10	QPR	42	16	11	15	-1	59
11	Middlesbrough	42	16	9	17	+2	57
12	Stoke	42	14	14	14	-1	56
13	Luton	41	16	8	17	-10	56
14	Bristol City	42	15	6	21	-15	51
15	Blackburn	42	13	11	18	+6	50
16	Nott'm Forest	42	12	13	17	-7	49
17	Preston	42	14	7	21	-14	49
18	Coventry	42	12	12	18	-17	48
19	Birmingham	42	12	12	18	-18	48
20	Huddersfield	42	12	11	19	-17	47
21	Derby	42	11	10	21	-17	43
22	Sheffield Weds	42	11	9	22	-20	42
23	Rotherham	40	11	6	23	-13	39
24	Wycombe	42	8	10	24	-34	34

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Watford	21	17	2	2	+29	53
2	Norwich	21	13	6	2	+22	45
3	Bournemouth	21	13	3	5	+19	42
4	Reading	21	12	2	7	+10	38
5	Barnsley	20	11	5	4	+9	38
6	Swansea	20	10	6	4	+9	36
7	Brentford	18	9	7	2	+15	34
8	Middlesbrough	21	10	4	7	+6	34
9	QPR	21	10	4	7	+5	34
10	Coventry	21	9	7	5	+4	34
11	Stoke	21	9	5	7	+4	32
12	Huddersfield	21	8	6	7	+6	30
13	Luton	20	8	6	6	+2	30
14	Sheffield Weds	21	7	7	7	+4	28
15	Blackburn	21	7	7	7	+3	28
16	Millwall	21	6	10	5	+0	28
17	Cardiff	21	7	5	9	+10	26
18	Nott'm Forest	21	6	7	8	-2	25
19	Derby	21	6	6	9	-5	24
20	Bristol City	21	7	3	11	-9	24
21	Birmingham	21	6	3	12	-15	21
22	Preston	21	5	5	11	-8	20
23	Wycombe	21	5	5	11	-13	20
24	Rotherham	21	5	3	13	-8	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Norwich	21	14	3	4	+13	45
2	Brentford	21	10	6	5	+15	36
3	Cardiff	21	9	7	5	+2	34
4	Swansea	19	10	3	6	+6	33
5	Barnsley	20	10	3	7	+3	33
6	Bournemouth	20	8	8	4	+10	32
7	Millwall	21	8	7	6	+1	31
8	Watford	21	7	8	6	+2	29
9	Reading	21	7	8	6	+1	29
10	Preston	21	9	2	10	-6	29
11	Birmingham	21	6	9	6	-3	27
12	Bristol City	21	8	3	10	-6	27
13	Luton	21	8	2	11	-12	26
14	QPR	21	6	7	8	-6	25
15	Stoke	21	5	9	7	-5	24
16	Nott'm Forest	21	6	6	9	-5	24
17	Middlesbrough	21	6	5	10	-4	23
18	Blackburn	21	6	4	11	+3	22
19	Rotherham	19	6	3	10	-5	21
20	Derby	21	5	4	12	-12	19
21	Huddersfield	21	4	5	12	-23	17
22	Wycombe	21	3	5	13	-21	14
23	Coventry	21	3	5	13	-21	14
24	Sheffield Weds	21	4	2	15	-24	14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.