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Süper Lig
Referee: K Sağlam
Hatayspor
T T S S T
2–1
Full-time
Besiktas
T U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hatayspor Besiktas
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,2
This season — Süper Lig · 9/10 matches
Win Ø 36%
22%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
44%
60%
Both score Ø 47%
33%
60%
Average goals
2,1
3,1
Scored
0,6
1,9
Conceded
1,6
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

42% Possession 58%
8 Shots 18
3 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 11
2 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 10
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hatayspor 18. · Besiktas 5. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fenerbahce 10 7 2 1 +19 23
2 Ad. Demirspor 11 6 4 1 +10 22
3 Trabzonspor 11 6 3 2 +3 21
4 Buyuksehyr 10 6 2 2 +9 20
5 Besiktas 10 5 4 1 +7 19
6 Konyaspor 11 5 4 2 +6 19
7 Kayserispor 11 6 1 4 +5 19
8 Galatasaray 10 5 3 2 +3 18
9 Gaziantep 10 4 3 3 +3 15
10 Alanyaspor 11 3 4 4 -5 13
11 Kasimpasa 11 4 1 6 -11 13
12 Karagumruk 10 3 3 4 +1 12
13 Sivasspor 11 2 4 5 -3 10
14 Antalyaspor 10 3 1 6 -6 10
15 Giresunspor 10 2 3 5 -7 9
16 Ankaragücü 10 2 2 6 -8 8
17 İstanbulspor 10 2 2 6 -9 8
18 Hatayspor 9 2 1 6 -9 7
19 Ümraniyespor 10 0 3 7 -8 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hatayspor Besiktas
1′
⚽ W. Weghorst 0–1
J. Muleka
12′
ℹ️ Wout Weghorst
VAR: Penalty cancelled
Mehdi Boudjemaa 🟨
28′
Ognjen Vranješ 🟨
40′
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 N. Redmond
↦ J. Muleka
1–1 Zé Luís ⚽
K. Çörekçi
50′
53′
🔁 C. Tosun
↦ D. Alli
53′
🔁 Gedson Fernandes
↦ S. Uçan
Rúben Ribeiro 🔁
↦ M. Boudjemaa
62′
B. Yıldırım 🔁
↦ Zé Luís
80′
K. Kanak 🔁
↦ S. Lobzhanidze
80′
84′
🔁 T. Bingöl
↦ Josef de Souza
86′
🔁 U. Meraş
↦ A. Masuaku
Kamil Ahmet Çörekçi 🟨
90′
2–1 K. Kanak ⚽
Rúben Ribeiro
90′
92′
🟨 Nathan Redmond
M. Çağıran 🔁
↦ R. Aabid
93′
Onur Ergun 🟨
96′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Hatayspor

4-3-3
1 E. Kardeşler G
12 K. Çörekçi D
5 O. Vranješ D
53 B. Öksüz D
23 S. Adekugbe D
8 M. Boudjemaa M
4 O. Ergün M
10 R. Aabid M
25 A. El Kaabi F
29 Zé Luís F
11 S. Lobzhanidze F
Bench (10)
7 Rúben Ribeiro
99 B. Yıldırım
26 K. Kanak
6 M. Çağıran
21 K. Varga
9 D. Saint-Louis
22 K. Alıcı
15 R. Yılmaz
31 A. Yiğiter
77 S. Baş

Coach: V. Demirel

Besiktas

4-2-3-1
1 E. Destanoğlu G
2 V. Rosier D
3 T. Sanuç D
4 Francisco Montero D
25 A. Masuaku D
8 S. Uçan M
5 Josef de Souza M
40 J. Muleka M
11 D. Alli M
7 G. Nkoudou M
10 W. Weghorst F
Bench (10)
15 N. Redmond
9 C. Tosun
83 Gedson Fernandes
88 T. Bingöl
77 U. Meraş
23 Welinton
17 K. Kesgin
20 N. Uysal
22 B. Vardar
34 M. Günok

Coach: V. Ismaël

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
4,78
U
4,00
B
1,65
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
1,64
U2,5
2,22
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

K Sağlam · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.