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Süper Lig
Referee: Z Küçük
İstanbulspor
T T T S U
2–2
Full-time
Besiktas
U S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

İstanbulspor Besiktas
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 44%
20%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
20%
67%
Both score Ø 44%
20%
67%
Average goals
2,0
3,7
Scored
0,4
2,3
Conceded
1,6
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+1,0
This season — Süper Lig · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 44%
20%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
20%
67%
Both score Ø 44%
20%
67%
Average goals
2,0
3,7
Scored
0,4
2,3
Conceded
1,6
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

50% Possession 50%
8 Shots 8
2 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 5
1 Offside 4
14 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match İstanbulspor 16. · Besiktas 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Galatasaray 7 5 1 1 +4 16
2 Konyaspor 7 4 2 1 +6 14
3 Buyuksehyr 5 4 1 0 +9 13
4 Besiktas 6 4 1 1 +6 13
5 Ad. Demirspor 6 4 1 1 +4 13
6 Kayserispor 7 4 0 3 +4 12
7 Gaziantep 6 3 2 1 +4 11
8 Fenerbahce 5 3 1 1 +9 10
9 Trabzonspor 6 3 1 2 +0 10
10 Kasimpasa 7 3 0 4 -8 9
11 Alanyaspor 6 2 2 2 +0 8
12 Giresunspor 6 2 1 3 -3 7
13 Antalyaspor 6 2 0 4 -3 6
14 Karagumruk 5 1 2 2 -2 5
15 Sivasspor 6 0 4 2 -5 4
16 İstanbulspor 5 1 1 3 -6 4
17 Ümraniyespor 7 0 2 5 -5 2
18 Ankaragücü 5 0 1 4 -6 1
19 Hatayspor 6 0 1 5 -8 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

İstanbulspor Besiktas
8′
G. Nkoudou 0–1
0–2 E. Destanoğlu
own goal
26′
30′
🟨 Souza
39′
W. Weghorst 0–3
Gedson Fernandes
A. Mehremić 🔁
↦ M. Yeşil
44′
Half-time 0–3
46′
🔁 N. Redmond
↦ G. Nkoudou
Melih Kabasakal 🟨
49′
50′
🔁 Welinton
↦ T. Sanuç
50′
🔁 T. Bingöl
↦ V. Rosier
R. Owusu 🔁
↦ J. Topalli
60′
K. Bağış 🔁
↦ O. Berber
60′
79′
🔁 C. Tosun
↦ J. Muleka
S. Guri 🔁
↦ İ. Yılmaz
82′
A. Čajič 🔁
↦ E. Gültekin
82′
84′
🟨 Welinton
1–3 A. Yaşar
86′
93′
🟨 Nathan Redmond
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

İstanbulspor

3-4-2-1
1 D. Jensen G
23 O. Erdoğan D
4 M. Yeşil D
3 D. Aksu D
13 O. Berber M
57 M. Kabasakal M
24 M. Sarıkaya M
66 A. Yaşar M
98 J. Topalli F
19 E. Gültekin F
9 İ. Yılmaz F
Bench (10)
88 A. Mehremić
14 R. Owusu
77 K. Bağış
61 S. Guri
11 A. Čajič
8 D. Aydın
50 M. Ologo
7 K. Abazaj
59 A. Arda
20 P. Ebert

Coach: O. Korkmaz

Besiktas

4-3-3
1 E. Destanoğlu G
2 V. Rosier D
3 T. Sanuç D
26 R. Saïss D
25 A. Masuaku D
8 S. Uçan M
5 Josef de Souza M
83 Gedson Fernandes M
40 J. Muleka F
10 W. Weghorst F
7 G. Nkoudou F
Bench (10)
15 N. Redmond
23 Welinton
88 T. Bingöl
9 C. Tosun
99 E. Bilgin
33 O. Akgün
22 B. Vardar
20 N. Uysal
14 E. Uzunhan
17 K. Kesgin

Coach: V. Ismaël

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,49
U ✓
4,36
B
1,54
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,63
U2,5
2,25
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Z Küçük · 92 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
29,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.