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Süper Lig
Referee: Ç Altay
Hatayspor
T T T U T
0–4
Full-time
Kayserispor
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hatayspor Kayserispor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
2,2
1,7
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
This season — Süper Lig · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 19%
20%
17%
Both score Ø 20%
40%
0%
Average goals
1,6
1,7
Scored
0,4
0,8
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

58% Possession 42%
16 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 3
3 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hatayspor 18. · Kayserispor 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Konyaspor 6 4 2 0 +7 14
2 Buyuksehyr 5 4 1 0 +9 13
3 Besiktas 6 4 1 1 +6 13
4 Ad. Demirspor 6 4 1 1 +4 13
5 Galatasaray 6 4 1 1 +3 13
6 Gaziantep 6 3 2 1 +4 11
7 Fenerbahce 5 3 1 1 +9 10
8 Trabzonspor 6 3 1 2 +0 10
9 Kayserispor 6 3 0 3 +0 9
10 Alanyaspor 6 2 2 2 +0 8
11 Giresunspor 6 2 1 3 -3 7
12 Antalyaspor 6 2 0 4 -3 6
13 Kasimpasa 6 2 0 4 -9 6
14 Karagumruk 5 1 2 2 -2 5
15 Sivasspor 6 0 4 2 -5 4
16 İstanbulspor 5 1 1 3 -6 4
17 Ümraniyespor 6 0 2 4 -4 2
18 Hatayspor 5 0 1 4 -4 1
19 Ankaragücü 5 0 1 4 -6 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hatayspor Kayserispor
3′
ℹ️ Ramazan Civelek
VAR: Penalty confirmed
5′
B. Mensah 0–1
44′
Miguel Cardoso 0–2
M. Thiam
Half-time 0–2
R. Aabid 🔁
↦ O. Ergün
46′
K. Kanak 🔁
↦ S. Adekugbe
46′
46′
🔁 G. Sazdağı
↦ R. Civelek
K. Soni 🔁
↦ M. Boudjemaa
62′
K. Varga 🔁
↦ D. Saint-Louis
63′
S. Falette 🔁
↦ S. Baş
63′
64′
🔁 M. Gavranović
↦ İ. Parlak
75′
🟨 Bilal Bayazit
79′
🔁 Y. Ackah
↦ B. Mensah
80′
🔁 O. Kemen
↦ Gustavo Campanharo
84′
🔁 A. Bertolacci
↦ Miguel Cardoso
87′
A. Bertolacci 0–3
G. Sazdağı
Simon Falette 🟥
89′
90′
M. Gavranović 0–4
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Hatayspor

4-3-3
1 E. Kardeşler G
77 S. Baş D
15 R. Yılmaz D
53 B. Öksüz D
23 S. Adekugbe D
8 M. Boudjemaa M
7 Rúben Ribeiro M
4 O. Ergün M
11 S. Lobzhanidze F
25 A. El Kaabi F
9 D. Saint-Louis F
Bench (10)
10 R. Aabid
26 K. Kanak
93 K. Soni
21 K. Varga
3 S. Falette
31 A. Yiğiter
5 O. Vranješ
6 M. Çağıran
99 B. Yıldırım
19 M. Mert

Coach: S. Özbalta

Kayserispor

4-5-1
25 B. Bayazıt G
38 O. Bulut D
4 D. Kolovetsios D
54 A. Kocaman D
21 L. Carole D
28 R. Civelek M
7 Miguel Cardoso M
88 Gustavo Campanharo M
43 B. Mensah M
27 M. Thiam M
23 İ. Parlak F
Bench (10)
11 G. Sazdağı
19 M. Gavranović
89 Y. Ackah
10 O. Kemen
91 A. Bertolacci
80 A. Uzodimma
30 T. Sarıarslan
22 H. Erkip
12 A. Taşdan
20 Carlos Mané

Coach: Ç. Atan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,23
U
3,36
B ✓
3,18
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,90
U2,5
1,89
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Ç Altay · 47 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.