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Süper Lig
Referee: M Güzenge
Kasimpasa
T S T T T
1–0
Full-time
Hatayspor
U T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kasimpasa Hatayspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
4,5
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
3,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-0,3
This season — Süper Lig · 3/2 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
3,7
2,0
Scored
0,0
0,5
Conceded
3,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-3,7
-1,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

34% Possession 66%
12 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 4
4 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kasimpasa 19. · Hatayspor 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Gaziantep 4 3 1 0 +5 10
2 Ad. Demirspor 4 3 0 1 +3 9
3 Fenerbahce 3 2 1 0 +8 7
4 Buyuksehyr 3 2 1 0 +6 7
5 Besiktas 3 2 1 0 +4 7
6 Kayserispor 4 2 0 2 +1 6
7 Galatasaray 3 2 0 1 +1 6
8 Antalyaspor 4 2 0 2 +0 6
9 Trabzonspor 3 2 0 1 +0 6
10 Giresunspor 4 2 0 2 -2 6
11 Konyaspor 3 1 2 0 +4 5
12 Alanyaspor 4 1 2 1 +1 5
13 Karagumruk 3 1 0 2 -2 3
14 İstanbulspor 4 1 0 3 -6 3
15 Sivasspor 3 0 2 1 -3 2
16 Ümraniyespor 4 0 1 3 -3 1
17 Ankaragücü 3 0 1 2 -4 1
18 Hatayspor 2 0 0 2 -2 0
19 Kasimpasa 3 0 0 3 -11 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kasimpasa Hatayspor
1–0 H. Hajradinović
B. Celina
36′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 R. Yılmaz
↦ S. Baş
46′
🔁 K. Varga
↦ O. Vranješ
Valentin Eysseric 🟨
59′
A. Kara 🔁
↦ T. Gemicibaşı
74′
A. Engin 🔁
↦ V. Eysseric
74′
75′
🔁 O. Ergün
↦ Rúben Ribeiro
75′
🔁 M. Mert
↦ R. Aabid
79′
🔁 B. Yıldırım
↦ K. Çörekçi
81′
🟨 Recep Burak Yılmaz
O. Yılmaz 🔁
↦ B. Celina
82′
J. Bruma 🔁
↦ H. Hajradinović
86′
E. Çetinkaya 🔁
↦ S. Bahoken
86′
Ahmet Engin 🟨
92′
Mamadou Fall 🟨
94′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Kasimpasa

4-1-4-1
1 E. Taşkıran G
94 F. Hadërgjonaj D
6 D. Graovac D
18 S. Çiftpınar D
12 M. Ben Ouannes D
81 T. Gemicibaşı M
7 M. Fall M
10 H. Hajradinović M
13 V. Eysseric M
59 B. Celina M
19 S. Bahoken F
Bench (10)
35 A. Kara
17 A. Engin
14 O. Yılmaz
5 J. Bruma
20 E. Çetinkaya
23 M. Yıldırım
41 B. Kalkan
8 T. Torun
22 E. Canpolat
11 Y. Mallı

Coach: Ş. Can

Hatayspor

4-3-3
1 E. Kardeşler G
12 K. Çörekçi D
5 O. Vranješ D
3 S. Falette D
23 S. Adekugbe D
8 M. Boudjemaa M
7 Rúben Ribeiro M
10 R. Aabid M
77 S. Baş F
25 A. El Kaabi F
11 S. Lobzhanidze F
Bench (10)
15 R. Yılmaz
21 K. Varga
4 O. Ergün
19 M. Mert
99 B. Yıldırım
53 B. Öksüz
31 A. Yiğiter
9 D. Saint-Louis
57 E. Aksoy
6 M. Çağıran

Coach: S. Özbalta

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,01
U
3,62
B
3,48
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,65
U2,5 ✓
2,21
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Güzenge · 30 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,03 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.