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Champions League
Referee: N Walsh
Brest
S T T S T
2–1
Full-time
Sturm Graz
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brest Sturm Graz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,2
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,5
2,7
Scored
1,7
2,0
Conceded
1,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

2,09 xG 0,48
57% Possession 43%
14 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 1
0 Offside 6
14 Free kicks against 23
3 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 1

Match report

Brest Sturm Graz
10′
🔁 M. Johnston
↦ G. Wüthrich
21′
🟨 Tomi Horvat
22′
🟨 Max Johnston
1–0 H. Magnetti ⚽
23′
Abdallah Sima 🟨
36′
40′
🟨 Dimitri Lavalėe
Half-time 2–0
46′
⚽ E. Fernandes 2–0
own goal
46′
🔁 M. Yalcouyé
↦ T. Horvat
3–0 A. Sima ⚽
L. Ajorque
56′
59′
🟨 Jon Gorenc Stanković
60′
🔁 L. Zvonarek
↦ S. Jatta
R. Del Castillo 🔁
↦ R. Faivre
62′
Mahdi Camara 🟨
64′
J. Martin 🔁
↦ M. Camara
71′
K. Doumbia 🔁
↦ E. Fernandes
72′
78′
🔁 A. Camara
↦ O. Kiteishvili
78′
🔁 E. Yardımcı
↦ M. Biereth
83′
🟨 Jusuf Gazibegović
M. Haïdara 🔁
↦ J. Amavi
84′
Ludovic Ajorque 🟨
85′
Mathias Pereira Lage 🔁
↦ A. Sima
85′
88′
🟨 Dimitri Lavalėe
88′
🟥 Dimitri Lavalėe
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Brest

4-3-3
40 M. Bizot G
7 K. Lala D
5 B. Chardonnet D
44 S. Coulibaly D
23 J. Amavi D
45 M. Camara M
6 E. Fernandes M
8 H. Magnetti M
21 R. Faivre F
19 L. Ajorque F
17 A. Sima F
Bench (12)
10 R. Del Castillo
28 J. Martin
9 K. Doumbia
22 M. Haïdara
26 Mathias Pereira Lage
3 A. Ndiaye
50 N. Jauny
25 J. Le Cardinal
30 G. Coudert
11 A. Camblan
34 I. Salah
14 Mama Baldé

Coach: E. Roy

Sturm Graz

4-3-1-2
1 K. Scherpen G
22 J. Gazibegović D
47 E. Aiwu D
5 G. Wüthrich D
24 D. Lavalée D
19 T. Horvat M
4 J. Gorenc Stankovič M
10 O. Kiteishvili M
15 W. Bøving M
20 S. Jatta F
18 M. Biereth F
Bench (12)
2 M. Johnston
8 M. Yalcouyé
14 L. Zvonarek
36 A. Camara
9 E. Yardımcı
23 A. Malić
21 T. Chukwuani
53 D. Khudyakov
35 N. Geyrhofer
38 L. Grgić
17 E. Karić
40 M. Bignetti

Coach: C. Ilzer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

N Walsh · 171 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.