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Champions League
Referee: M Oliver
FK Crvena Zvezda
T T T T S
1–2
Full-time
Benfica
T S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FK Crvena Zvezda Benfica
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
2,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

1,02 xG 1,27
55% Possession 45%
15 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 1
3 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

FK Crvena Zvezda Benfica
9′
⚽ K. Aktürkoğlu 0–1
Silas Katompa Mvumpa 🟨
25′
Dálcio 🔁
↦ O. Mimović
26′
29′
⚽ O. Kökçü 0–2
37′
🔁 I. Kaboré
↦ A. Bah
Half-time 0–2
52′
🟨 Álvaro Carreras
56′
🔁 F. Aursnes
↦ B. Rollheiser
64′
🟨 Issa Kaboré
C. Ndiaye 🔁
↦ Bruno Duarte
71′
Milson 🔁
↦ P. Olayinka
71′
77′
🟨 Fredrik Aursnes
L. Ilić 🔁
↦ R. Krunić
81′
1–2 Milson ⚽
C. Ndiaye
86′
88′
🔁 Z. Amdouni
↦ V. Pavlidis
88′
🔁 L. Barreiro
↦ O. Kökçü
88′
🔁 J. Beste
↦ Á. Di María
Young-woo Seol 🟨
94′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

FK Crvena Zvezda

4-2-3-1
18 O. Glazer G
70 O. Mimović D
24 N. Djiga D
5 U. Spajić D
66 Seol Young-Woo D
6 R. Krunić M
21 T. Elšnik M
15 S. Katompa Mvumpa M
4 M. Ivanić M
14 P. Olayinka M
17 Bruno Duarte F
Bench (11)
22 Dálcio
9 C. Ndiaye
27 Milson
32 L. Ilić
49 N. Radonjić
73 E. Prutsev
8 G. Kanga
1 M. Ilić
25 S. Leković
77 I. Guteša
33 V. Drkušić

Coach: V. Milojević

Benfica

4-2-3-1
1 A. Trubin G
6 A. Bah D
4 António Silva D
30 N. Otamendi D
3 Álvaro Fernández D
61 Florentino M
10 O. Kökçü M
11 Á. Di María M
32 B. Rollheiser M
17 K. Aktürkoğlu M
14 V. Pavlidis F
Bench (12)
28 I. Kaboré
8 F. Aursnes
7 Z. Amdouni
18 L. Barreiro
37 J. Beste
75 André Gomes
9 Arthur Cabral
21 A. Schjelderup
25 G. Prestianni
81 A. Bajrami
24 Samuel Soares
44 Tomás Araújo

Coach: Bruno Lage

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Oliver · 207 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.