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Champions League
Referee: A Lindhout
Monaco
S S S U S
2–1
Full-time
Barcelona
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Monaco Barcelona
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 92%
83%
100%
Points per game
2,7
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
2,3
4,0
Scored
2,2
3,2
Conceded
0,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+2,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,32 xG 0,41
56% Possession 44%
18 Shots 4
8 Shots on target 1
6 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 6
10 Corners 0
6 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 14
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1

Match report

Monaco Barcelona
10′
🟥 Eric García
1–0 M. Akliouche ⚽
Vanderson
16′
28′
⚽ Lamine Yamal 1–1
Marc Casadó
Eliesse Ben Seghir 🟨
29′
Lamine Camara 🟨
36′
Half-time 1–1
A. Golovin 🔁
↦ L. Camara
46′
G. Ilenikhena 🔁
↦ B. Embolo
59′
F. Balogun 🔁
↦ T. Minamino
69′
Caio Henrique 🔁
↦ E. Ben Seghir
70′
2–1 G. Ilenikhena ⚽
Vanderson
71′
75′
🟨 Iñigo Martínez
79′
🔁 Ferran Torres
↦ Pau Cubarsí
80′
🔁 Gerard Martín
↦ Lamine Yamal
80′
🔁 Sergi Domínguez
↦ R. Lewandowski
83′
🔁 Pablo Torre
↦ Pedri
85′
🟨 Marc Casadó
85′
🟨 Alejandro Balde
Folarin Balogun ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
86′
C. Mawissa 🔁
↦ Vanderson
88′
88′
🔁 Ansu Fati
↦ Alejandro Balde
Christian Mawissa 🟨
92′
Folarin Balogun 🟨
96′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Monaco

4-2-3-1
16 P. Köhn G
17 W. Singo D
5 T. Kehrer D
22 M. Salisu D
2 Vanderson D
6 D. Zakaria M
15 L. Camara M
11 M. Akliouche M
18 T. Minamino M
7 E. Ben Seghir M
36 B. Embolo F
Bench (11)
10 A. Golovin
21 G. Ilenikhena
9 F. Balogun
12 Caio Henrique
13 C. Mawissa
4 J. Teze
8 E. Matazo
50 Y. Lienard
88 S. Magassa
20 K. Ouattara
27 K. Diatta

Coach: A. Hütter

Barcelona

4-2-3-1
1 M. ter Stegen G
23 J. Koundé D
2 Pau Cubarsí D
5 Iñigo Martínez D
3 Alejandro Balde D
17 Marc Casadó M
24 Eric García M
19 Lamine Yamal M
8 Pedri M
11 Raphinha M
9 R. Lewandowski F
Bench (12)
7 Ferran Torres
35 Gerard Martín
36 Sergi Domínguez
14 Pablo Torre
10 Ansu Fati
26 Ander Astralaga
39 Andrés Cuenca
13 Iñaki Peña
42 Toni Fernández
18 Pau Víctor
32 Héctor Fort
41 Guille Fernández

Coach: H. Flick

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Lindhout · 161 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.