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Champions League
Referee: C Turpin
Atalanta
T S T T S
0–0
Full-time
Arsenal
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Atalanta Arsenal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,5
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
100%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
4,0
1,8
Scored
2,2
1,5
Conceded
1,8
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,20 xG 0,78
54% Possession 46%
8 Shots 6
2 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 2
0 Offside 3
7 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Atalanta Arsenal
Éderson 🟨
12′
Half-time 0–0
Mateo Retegui ❌
penalty missed
51′
58′
🔁 Jorginho
↦ T. Partey
58′
🔁 L. Trossard
↦ Gabriel Jesus
J. Cuadrado 🔁
↦ C. De Ketelaere
60′
R. Bellanova 🔁
↦ D. Zappacosta
70′
N. Zaniolo 🔁
↦ M. Retegui
70′
73′
🔁 R. Sterling
↦ B. Saka
73′
🔁 R. Calafiori
↦ J. Timber
M. Pašalić 🔁
↦ M. Ruggeri
89′
L. Samardžić 🔁
↦ A. Lookman
89′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Atalanta

3-4-2-1
29 M. Carnesecchi G
19 B. Djimsiti D
4 I. Hien D
23 S. Kolašinac D
77 D. Zappacosta M
15 M. de Roon M
13 Éderson M
22 M. Ruggeri M
17 C. De Ketelaere F
11 A. Lookman F
32 M. Retegui F
Bench (12)
7 J. Cuadrado
16 R. Bellanova
10 N. Zaniolo
8 M. Pašalić
24 L. Samardžić
28 Rui Patrício
3 O. Kossounou
31 F. Rossi
49 T. Del Lungo
27 M. Palestra
44 M. Brescianini
48 V. Vlahović

Coach: G. Gasperini

Arsenal

4-3-3
22 David Raya G
4 B. White D
2 W. Saliba D
6 Gabriel Magalhães D
12 J. Timber D
29 K. Havertz M
5 T. Partey M
41 D. Rice M
7 B. Saka F
9 Gabriel Jesus F
11 Gabriel Martinelli F
Bench (12)
20 Jorginho
19 L. Trossard
30 R. Sterling
33 R. Calafiori
15 J. Kiwior
49 M. Lewis-Skelly
44 J. Gower
37 N. Butler-Oyedeji
32 Neto
53 E. Nwaneri
92 J. Porter
56 S. Oulad M'Hand

Coach: Mikel Arteta

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

C Turpin · 184 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.