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Süper Lig
Referee: Ü Öztürk
Kayserispor
T S T S S
1–2
Full-time
Trabzonspor
S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kayserispor Trabzonspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
0%
67%
Average goals
2,2
3,2
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
0,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,2
This season — Süper Lig · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 57%
57%
57%
Points per game
1,7
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
29%
43%
Both score Ø 22%
0%
43%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,6
Conceded
0,7
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

46% Possession 54%
14 Shots 20
4 Shots on target 9
6 Blocked shots 6
6 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 6
2 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 13
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kayserispor 8. · Trabzonspor 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ad. Demirspor 7 5 1 1 +7 16
2 Galatasaray 7 5 1 1 +4 16
3 Buyuksehyr 6 4 2 0 +9 14
4 Besiktas 7 4 2 1 +6 14
5 Konyaspor 7 4 2 1 +6 14
6 Fenerbahce 6 4 1 1 +14 13
7 Trabzonspor 7 4 1 2 +1 13
8 Kayserispor 7 4 0 3 +4 12
9 Kasimpasa 8 4 0 4 -7 12
10 Gaziantep 8 3 2 3 +2 11
11 Alanyaspor 7 2 2 3 -5 8
12 Giresunspor 6 2 1 3 -3 7
13 Karagumruk 6 1 3 2 -2 6
14 Antalyaspor 7 2 0 5 -6 6
15 İstanbulspor 6 1 2 3 -6 5
16 Ankaragücü 6 1 1 4 -5 4
17 Sivasspor 7 0 4 3 -6 4
18 Ümraniyespor 7 0 2 5 -5 2
19 Hatayspor 6 0 1 5 -8 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kayserispor Trabzonspor
Olivier Kemen 🟨
-5′
14′
🟨 Mahmoud Trezeguet
1–0 M. Gavranović
M. Thiam
24′
Half-time 1–0
Mario Gavranović 🟨
55′
64′
🔁 S. Denswil
↦ E. Siopis
64′
🔁 Y. Yazıcı
↦ Vitor Hugo
64′
🔁 E. Bardhi
↦ A. Ömür
İ. Parlak 🔁
↦ M. Gavranović
68′
G. Sazdağı 🔁
↦ R. Civelek
69′
73′
🔁 U. Bozok
↦ M. Hamšík
Onur Bulut 🟨
77′
77′
ℹ️ Mahmoud Trezeguet
VAR: Penalty confirmed
78′
A. Bakasetas 1–1
83′
U. Bozok 1–2
M. Gómez
M. Pektemek 🔁
↦ Gustavo Campanharo
87′
E. Başsan 🔁
↦ Miguel Cardoso
87′
A. Bertolacci 🔁
↦ B. Mensah
87′
88′
🔁 D. Haspolat
↦ A. Bakasetas
91′
🟨 Eren Elmalı
93′
🟨 Maximiliano Gómez
Dimitris Kolovetsios 🟨
94′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Kayserispor

4-5-1
25 B. Bayazıt G
38 O. Bulut D
5 M. Hosseini D
4 D. Kolovetsios D
21 L. Carole D
28 R. Civelek M
7 Miguel Cardoso M
88 Gustavo Campanharo M
43 B. Mensah M
27 M. Thiam M
19 M. Gavranović F
Bench (10)
23 İ. Parlak
11 G. Sazdağı
9 M. Pektemek
17 E. Başsan
91 A. Bertolacci
10 O. Kemen
77 N. Korkmaz
80 A. Uzodimma
89 Y. Ackah
12 A. Taşdan

Coach: Ç. Atan

Trabzonspor

4-2-3-1
1 U. Çakır G
19 J. Larsen D
3 Marc Bartra D
13 Vitor Hugo D
18 E. Elmalı D
17 M. Hamšík M
6 E. Siopis M
10 A. Ömür M
11 A. Bakasetas M
27 Trézéguet M
30 M. Gómez F
Bench (10)
24 S. Denswil
61 Y. Yazıcı
29 E. Bardhi
9 U. Bozok
34 D. Haspolat
32 Y. Erdoğan
54 T. Tepe
4 H. Türkmen
80 M. Lahtimi
23 N. Ünüvar

Coach: A. Avcı

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,47
U
3,54
B ✓
2,04
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,80
U2,5
2,00
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Ü Öztürk · 75 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.