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Süper Lig

Referee: D Tonusluoğlu

Hatayspor

T T T U T

2–3

Full-time

Antalyaspor

T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hatayspor Antalyaspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

100%

33%

Average goals

3,8

2,8

Scored

1,5

0,7

Conceded

2,3

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 18%

30%

Points per game

0,5

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

50%

55%

Both score Ø 63%

70%

55%

Average goals

2,9

3,1

Scored

1,1

Conceded

1,9

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,9

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

1,04 xG 2,63

56% Possession 44%

6 Shots 14

3 Shots on target 7

2 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 2

3 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hatayspor 18. · Antalyaspor 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	20	17	3	0	+31	+21.9	54
2	Fenerbahce	20	15	3	2	+32	+24.2	48
3	Samsunspor	20	12	4	4	+15	+10.3	40
4	Eyüpspor	21	11	6	4	+15	+1.0	39
5	Goztep	20	10	4	6	+14	+11.7	34
6	Besiktas	20	8	8	4	+8	+8.2	32
7	Buyuksehyr	20	8	5	7	+5	+7.3	29
8	Rizespor	20	8	3	9	-9	+8.2	27
9	Gaziantep	20	7	5	8	-2	-5.1	26
10	Trabzonspor	19	6	7	6	+10	-0.6	25
11	Alanyaspor	20	6	7	7	-4	-1.1	25
12	Kasimpasa	20	5	10	5	-5	-2.9	25
13	Konyaspor	21	6	6	9	-6	-7.5	24
14	Sivasspor	21	6	5	10	-9	-15.4	23
15	Antalyaspor	20	6	4	10	-17	-15.5	22
16	Bodrumspor	21	4	4	13	-14	-5.2	16
17	Kayserispor	19	3	7	9	-20	-7.1	16
18	Hatayspor	20	1	7	12	-16	-14.5	10
19	Ad. Demirspor	20	2	2	16	-28	-17.9	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	11	9	2	0	+14	+16.0	29
2	Goztep	10	9	1	0	+20	+11.1	28
3	Fenerbahce	9	8	0	1	+14	+10.8	24
4	Eyüpspor	10	7	2	1	+13	+4.4	23
5	Trabzonspor	10	6	3	1	+16	+4.6	21
6	Gaziantep	10	6	3	1	+9	+1.8	21
7	Samsunspor	10	6	2	2	+8	+8.7	20
8	Besiktas	10	6	2	2	+5	+7.5	20
9	Buyuksehyr	10	5	4	1	+12	+8.2	19
10	Alanyaspor	10	5	3	2	+5	+3.8	18
11	Antalyaspor	10	5	2	3	-2	-4.5	17
12	Sivasspor	11	4	4	3	+3	-5.3	16
13	Rizespor	10	4	3	3	+0	+8.5	15
14	Konyaspor	10	3	5	2	+2	+1.9	14
15	Bodrumspor	10	3	2	5	+1	-0.6	11
16	Kasimpasa	10	2	4	4	-4	+3.2	10
17	Hatayspor	11	1	5	5	-6	-5.4	8
18	Kayserispor	9	1	3	5	-11	-3.2	6
19	Ad. Demirspor	10	1	0	9	-17	-6.7	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	9	8	1	0	+17	+5.9	25
2	Fenerbahce	11	7	3	1	+18	+13.4	24
3	Samsunspor	10	6	2	2	+7	+1.6	20
4	Eyüpspor	11	4	4	3	+2	-3.4	16
5	Kasimpasa	10	3	6	1	-1	-6.1	15
6	Besiktas	10	2	6	2	+3	+0.7	12
7	Rizespor	10	4	0	6	-9	-0.2	12
8	Buyuksehyr	10	3	1	6	-7	-0.9	10
9	Konyaspor	11	3	1	7	-8	-9.5	10
10	Kayserispor	10	2	4	4	-9	-4.0	10
11	Alanyaspor	10	1	4	5	-9	-4.9	7
12	Sivasspor	10	2	1	7	-12	-10.1	7
13	Goztep	10	1	3	6	-6	+0.6	6
14	Gaziantep	10	1	2	7	-11	-7.0	5
15	Ad. Demirspor	10	1	2	7	-11	-11.2	5
16	Antalyaspor	10	1	2	7	-15	-11.0	5
17	Bodrumspor	11	1	2	8	-15	-4.5	5
18	Trabzonspor	9	0	4	5	-6	-5.2	4
19	Hatayspor	9	0	2	7	-10	-9.1	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.