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Süper Lig

Referee: Y Kol

Ad. Demirspor

S T T T T

3–5

Full-time

Kasimpasa

U U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ad. Demirspor Kasimpasa

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,0

5,0

Scored

1,2

2,3

Conceded

1,8

2,7

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 18%

10%

25%

Points per game

0,4

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

65%

Both score Ø 60%

55%

65%

Average goals

3,1

3,5

Scored

0,9

1,6

Conceded

2,3

1,9

Goal diff per game

-1,4

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

0,58 xG 2,83

40% Possession 60%

11 Shots 14

7 Shots on target 7

3 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 4

1 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ad. Demirspor 19. · Kasimpasa 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	20	17	3	0	+31	+21.9	54
2	Fenerbahce	20	15	3	2	+32	+24.2	48
3	Samsunspor	21	12	4	5	+11	+9.5	40
4	Eyüpspor	21	11	6	4	+15	+1.0	39
5	Goztep	20	10	4	6	+14	+11.7	34
6	Buyuksehyr	21	9	5	7	+9	+8.1	32
7	Besiktas	20	8	8	4	+8	+8.2	32
8	Rizespor	20	8	3	9	-9	+8.2	27
9	Trabzonspor	20	6	8	6	+10	-1.6	26
10	Gaziantep	20	7	5	8	-2	-5.1	26
11	Alanyaspor	20	6	7	7	-4	-1.1	25
12	Kasimpasa	20	5	10	5	-5	-2.9	25
13	Antalyaspor	21	7	4	10	-16	-13.9	25
14	Konyaspor	21	6	6	9	-6	-7.5	24
15	Sivasspor	21	6	5	10	-9	-15.4	23
16	Kayserispor	20	3	8	9	-20	-6.2	17
17	Bodrumspor	21	4	4	13	-14	-5.2	16
18	Hatayspor	21	1	7	13	-17	-16.1	10
19	Ad. Demirspor	20	2	2	16	-28	-17.9	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	11	9	2	0	+14	+16.0	29
2	Goztep	10	9	1	0	+20	+11.1	28
3	Fenerbahce	9	8	0	1	+14	+10.8	24
4	Eyüpspor	10	7	2	1	+13	+4.4	23
5	Buyuksehyr	11	6	4	1	+16	+9.0	22
6	Trabzonspor	10	6	3	1	+16	+4.6	21
7	Gaziantep	10	6	3	1	+9	+1.8	21
8	Samsunspor	10	6	2	2	+8	+8.7	20
9	Besiktas	10	6	2	2	+5	+7.5	20
10	Alanyaspor	10	5	3	2	+5	+3.8	18
11	Antalyaspor	10	5	2	3	-2	-4.5	17
12	Sivasspor	11	4	4	3	+3	-5.3	16
13	Rizespor	10	4	3	3	+0	+8.5	15
14	Konyaspor	10	3	5	2	+2	+1.9	14
15	Bodrumspor	10	3	2	5	+1	-0.6	11
16	Kasimpasa	10	2	4	4	-4	+3.2	10
17	Hatayspor	12	1	5	6	-7	-7.0	8
18	Kayserispor	10	1	4	5	-11	-2.2	7
19	Ad. Demirspor	10	1	0	9	-17	-6.7	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	9	8	1	0	+17	+5.9	25
2	Fenerbahce	11	7	3	1	+18	+13.4	24
3	Samsunspor	11	6	2	3	+3	+0.8	20
4	Eyüpspor	11	4	4	3	+2	-3.4	16
5	Kasimpasa	10	3	6	1	-1	-6.1	15
6	Besiktas	10	2	6	2	+3	+0.7	12
7	Rizespor	10	4	0	6	-9	-0.2	12
8	Buyuksehyr	10	3	1	6	-7	-0.9	10
9	Konyaspor	11	3	1	7	-8	-9.5	10
10	Kayserispor	10	2	4	4	-9	-4.0	10
11	Antalyaspor	11	2	2	7	-14	-9.4	8
12	Alanyaspor	10	1	4	5	-9	-4.9	7
13	Sivasspor	10	2	1	7	-12	-10.1	7
14	Goztep	10	1	3	6	-6	+0.6	6
15	Trabzonspor	10	0	5	5	-6	-6.1	5
16	Gaziantep	10	1	2	7	-11	-7.0	5
17	Ad. Demirspor	10	1	2	7	-11	-11.2	5
18	Bodrumspor	11	1	2	8	-15	-4.5	5
19	Hatayspor	9	0	2	7	-10	-9.1	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.