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Süper Lig
Referee: O Ergün
Kasimpasa
U T U S S
3–2
Full-time
Rizespor
U S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kasimpasa Rizespor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
6,0
3,3
Scored
2,8
1,3
Conceded
3,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 34%
29%
38%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
67%
57%
Both score Ø 60%
67%
52%
Average goals
3,7
2,8
Scored
1,8
1,1
Conceded
1,9
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

1,62 xG 1,14
54% Possession 46%
12 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 11
1 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kasimpasa 8. · Rizespor 10.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Galatasaray 21 18 3 0 +32 +22.8 57
2 Fenerbahce 21 16 3 2 +33 +28.2 51
3 Samsunspor 22 13 4 5 +13 +10.4 43
4 Eyüpspor 21 11 6 4 +15 +1.0 39
5 Besiktas 21 9 8 4 +10 +9.1 35
6 Goztep 21 10 4 7 +13 +14.0 34
7 Buyuksehyr 21 9 5 7 +9 +8.1 32
8 Kasimpasa 21 6 10 5 -3 -0.6 28
9 Alanyaspor 21 7 7 7 -3 -3.5 28
10 Rizespor 21 8 3 10 -10 +4.2 27
11 Trabzonspor 20 6 8 6 +10 -1.6 26
12 Gaziantep 21 7 5 9 -3 -6.0 26
13 Antalyaspor 21 7 4 10 -16 -13.9 25
14 Konyaspor 22 6 6 10 -7 -7.7 24
15 Sivasspor 22 6 5 11 -11 -16.3 23
16 Kayserispor 21 4 8 9 -19 -6.1 20
17 Bodrumspor 21 4 4 13 -14 -5.2 16
18 Hatayspor 22 1 7 14 -19 -17.0 10
19 Ad. Demirspor 21 2 2 17 -30 -20.2 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kasimpasa Rizespor
23′
🟨 Dal Varešanović
1–0 K. Rodrigues
26′
30′
S. Bolat 2–0
own goal
Cafú 🟨
34′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 A. Hadžiahmetović
↦ M. Pala
3–0 H. Hajradinović
53′
55′
🟨 Rachid Ghezzal
4–0 Nuno da Costa
Cláudio Winck
57′
63′
🔁 V. Jurečka
↦ C. Højer
63′
🔁 H. Aliqulov
↦ D. Varešanović
64′
🟨 Babajide David Akintola
64′
🟨 Samet Akaydın
C. Keleş 🔁
↦ Nuno da Costa
74′
G. Gül 🔁
↦ Cafú
74′
77′
🔁 A. Zeqiri
↦ D. Akintola
80′
A. Sowe 4–1
H. Aliqulov
Aytaç Kara 🟨
88′
N. Opoku 🔁
↦ A. Kara
93′
95′
🟨 Taha Şahin
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Kasimpasa

4-1-4-1
38 S. Bolat G
2 Cláudio Winck D
91 K. Piątkowski D
58 Y. Özcan D
77 K. Rodrigues D
8 Cafú M
7 M. Fall M
10 H. Hajradinović M
35 A. Kara M
12 M. Ben Ouanes M
18 Nuno da Costa F
Bench (10)
11 C. Keleş
6 G. Gül
20 N. Opoku
15 Y. Suakar
72 A. Barák
5 S. Çiftpınar
9 J. Brekalo
29 T. Aydın
1 A. Gianniotis
23 S. Alkaş

Coach: B. Yılmaz

Rizespor

4-2-3-1
1 T. Çetin G
37 T. Şahin D
4 A. Mocsi D
3 S. Akaydin D
5 C. Højer D
54 M. Pala M
6 G. Papanikolaou M
19 R. Ghezzal M
8 D. Varešanović M
28 D. Akintola M
9 A. Sowe F
Bench (10)
20 A. Hadžiahmetović
15 V. Jurečka
2 H. Aliqulov
77 A. Zeqiri
90 M. Minchev
45 A. Karapo
95 H. Özbakır
18 M. Buljubašić
97 D. Avcı
40 C. Yurdakul

Coach: İ. Palut

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,03
U
3,58
B
3,40
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,66
U2,5
2,18
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

O Ergün · 34 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.