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Süper Lig

Referee: Mehmet Turkmen

Kocaelispor

T U T S S

2–0

Full-time

Alanyaspor

U U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kocaelispor Alanyaspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,7

2,5

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 28%

22%

33%

Points per game

0,9

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

33%

44%

Both score Ø 56%

56%

Average goals

2,4

2,2

Scored

0,9

1,2

Conceded

1,6

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,33 xG 0,69

52% Possession 48%

14 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 1

4 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 2

1 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 8

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Kocaelispor 15. · Alanyaspor 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	9	8	1	0	+18	+11.1	25
2	Trabzonspor	9	6	2	1	+8	+0.8	20
3	Fenerbahce	9	5	4	0	+8	+11.7	19
4	Gaziantep	9	5	2	2	+1	+1.1	17
5	Goztep	9	4	4	1	+8	+3.2	16
6	Besiktas	9	5	1	3	+4	+8.8	16
7	Samsunspor	9	4	4	1	+4	+3.8	16
8	Alanyaspor	9	3	4	2	+2	-3.6	13
9	Konyaspor	9	3	2	4	+1	-1.8	11
10	Antalyaspor	9	3	1	5	-5	-6.0	10
11	Rizespor	9	2	3	4	-3	+2.9	9
12	Kasimpasa	9	2	3	4	-3	-3.4	9
13	Genclerbirligi	9	2	2	5	-4	-5.7	8
14	Eyüpspor	9	2	2	5	-5	-3.8	8
15	Kocaelispor	9	2	2	5	-6	-3.3	8
16	Buyuksehyr	9	1	4	4	-2	-1.5	7
17	Kayserispor	10	0	6	4	-14	-7.5	6
18	Karagumruk	10	1	1	8	-12	-6.9	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	5	4	1	0	+6	+11.4	13
2	Trabzonspor	5	3	2	0	+6	+4.8	11
3	Galatasaray	4	3	1	0	+7	+3.1	10
4	Gaziantep	5	3	1	1	+1	+3.7	10
5	Besiktas	4	3	0	1	+3	+6.2	9
6	Goztep	4	2	2	0	+4	+1.6	8
7	Samsunspor	5	2	2	1	+1	+3.3	8
8	Alanyaspor	4	2	1	1	+2	-1.1	7
9	Eyüpspor	5	2	1	2	-2	-1.7	7
10	Konyaspor	5	2	0	3	+0	-0.1	6
11	Kocaelispor	4	1	2	1	+0	+2.2	5
12	Genclerbirligi	4	1	1	2	-2	+0.7	4
13	Antalyaspor	4	1	1	2	-3	-0.5	4
14	Rizespor	5	1	1	3	-4	+3.2	4
15	Buyuksehyr	4	0	3	1	-1	-0.8	3
16	Kasimpasa	4	0	2	2	-2	+1.2	2
17	Kayserispor	5	0	2	3	-10	-3.8	2
18	Karagumruk	6	0	1	5	-8	-1.8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	5	5	0	0	+11	+8.1	15
2	Trabzonspor	4	3	0	1	+2	-4.0	9
3	Goztep	5	2	2	1	+4	+1.6	8
4	Samsunspor	4	2	2	0	+3	+0.5	8
5	Besiktas	5	2	1	2	+1	+2.6	7
6	Gaziantep	4	2	1	1	+0	-2.5	7
7	Kasimpasa	5	2	1	2	-1	-4.6	7
8	Fenerbahce	4	1	3	0	+2	+0.3	6
9	Alanyaspor	5	1	3	1	+0	-2.5	6
10	Antalyaspor	5	2	0	3	-2	-5.5	6
11	Rizespor	4	1	2	1	+1	-0.3	5
12	Konyaspor	4	1	2	1	+1	-1.8	5
13	Buyuksehyr	5	1	1	3	-1	-0.7	4
14	Genclerbirligi	5	1	1	3	-2	-6.4	4
15	Kayserispor	5	0	4	1	-4	-3.7	4
16	Karagumruk	4	1	0	3	-4	-5.0	3
17	Kocaelispor	5	1	0	4	-6	-5.5	3
18	Eyüpspor	4	0	1	3	-3	-2.2	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.