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Süper Lig
Referee: Kadir Saglam
Konyaspor
U T T S U
2–3
Full-time
Kocaelispor
U T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Konyaspor Kocaelispor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 7/8 matches
Win Ø 28%
43%
13%
Points per game
1,6
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
71%
25%
Both score Ø 68%
86%
50%
Average goals
3,1
2,1
Scored
1,9
0,6
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,9
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,52 xG 0,98
56% Possession 44%
12 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 4
0 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 20
4 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Konyaspor 8. · Kocaelispor 15.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Galatasaray 8 7 1 0 +17 +9.6 22
2 Trabzonspor 8 5 2 1 +7 +2.8 17
3 Goztep 8 4 4 0 +9 +3.4 16
4 Fenerbahce 8 4 4 0 +7 +9.8 16
5 Gaziantep 8 4 2 2 +0 -0.2 14
6 Besiktas 7 4 1 2 +3 +6.7 13
7 Samsunspor 8 3 4 1 +2 +2.4 13
8 Konyaspor 7 3 2 2 +4 -1.5 11
9 Alanyaspor 8 2 4 2 +1 -3.8 10
10 Antalyaspor 8 3 1 4 -4 -4.7 10
11 Kasimpasa 8 2 3 3 -1 -1.2 9
12 Rizespor 7 2 2 3 -2 +1.2 8
13 Buyuksehyr 7 1 3 3 -1 -0.3 6
14 Genclerbirligi 8 1 2 5 -5 -4.4 5
15 Kocaelispor 8 1 2 5 -7 -2.7 5
16 Eyüpspor 8 1 2 5 -7 -6.1 5
17 Kayserispor 8 0 5 3 -12 -5.7 5
18 Karagumruk 8 1 0 7 -11 -5.4 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Konyaspor Kocaelispor
Uğurcan Yazğılı 🟨
-5′
Guilherme Haubert Sityá 🟨
21′
J. Calusic 🔁
↦ U. Yazgili
26′
38′
🟨 Serdar Dursun
44′
T. Bingol 0–1
Half-time 0–1
E. Bardhi 🔁
↦ M. Bjorlo
46′
46′
🔁 A. Dijksteel
↦ A. Oguz
Jackson Muleka 🟨
47′
48′
🟨 Ahmet Oğuz
48′
🟨 Botond Balogh
1–1 Pedrinho
51′
Adil Demirbağ 🟨
61′
63′
H. Keita 1–2
K. Linetty
71′
T. Bingol 1–3
H. Keita
Jo Jin-ho 🔁
↦ M. Ibrahimoglu
74′
K. Akyazi 🔁
↦ A. Ndao
74′
74′
🔁 C. Keles
↦ D. Agyei
M. Bostan 🔁
↦ J. Muleka
75′
2–3 U. Nayir
A. Demirbag
77′
85′
🔁 S. Yalcin
↦ J. Nonge
89′
🟨 Aleksandar Jovanović
92′
🔁 T. Serbest
↦ K. Linetty
92′
🔁 M. Cinan
↦ T. Bingol
95′
🟨 Muharrem Cinan
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Konyaspor

4-3-3
1 D. Ertas G
23 Y. Andzouana D
5 U. Yazgili D
4 A. Demirbag D
12 Guilherme D
42 M. Bjorlo M
77 M. Ibrahimoglu M
8 Pedrinho
18 A. Ndao F
22 U. Nayir F
40 J. Muleka F
Bench (10)
13 B. Gungordu
3 K. Subasi
10 E. Bardhi
11 M. Stefanescu
14 M. Ibrahimoglu
15 J. Calusic
17 M. Bostan
20 R. Bazoer
21 Jo Jin-ho
70 K. Akyazi

Coach: Recep Uçar

Kocaelispor

4-2-3-1
1 A. Jovanovic G
22 A. Oguz D
5 B. Balogh D
6 H. Smolcic D
34 O. Syrota D
8 H. Keita M
10 K. Linetty M
7 D. Agyei M
98 J. Nonge M
75 T. Bingol M
19 S. Dursun F
Bench (10)
35 G. Degirmenci
27 E. Bilim
18 F. Gedik
15 T. Serbest
11 A. Sagat
99 R. Rivas
2 A. Dijksteel
3 M. Cinan
23 S. Yalcin
70 C. Keles

Coach: Selçuk İnan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,89
U
3,48
B ✓
3,79
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,90
U2,5
1,82
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Kadir Saglam · 11 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
29,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.