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Süper Lig

Referee: Adnan Deniz Kayatepe

Kocaelispor

T U T U T

1–0

Full-time

Eyüpspor

S U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kocaelispor Eyüpspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,5

1,5

Scored

0,7

0,5

Conceded

1,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 7%

14%

Points per game

0,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 36%

29%

43%

Both score Ø 50%

57%

43%

Average goals

2,3

2,0

Scored

0,6

Conceded

1,7

1,4

Goal diff per game

-1,1

-0,9

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,21 xG 0,58

46% Possession 54%

9 Shots 13

4 Shots on target 7

4 Blocked shots 5

6 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 3

5 Offside 3

18 Free kicks against 17

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Kocaelispor 18. · Eyüpspor 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	7	7	0	0	+17	+10.1	21
2	Trabzonspor	8	5	2	1	+7	+2.8	17
3	Fenerbahce	7	4	3	0	+7	+10.8	15
4	Goztep	7	3	4	0	+8	+3.2	13
5	Besiktas	6	4	0	2	+3	+6.2	12
6	Samsunspor	7	3	3	1	+2	+1.4	12
7	Gaziantep	7	3	2	2	-2	-1.5	11
8	Konyaspor	6	3	1	2	+4	-1.1	10
9	Alanyaspor	8	2	4	2	+1	-3.8	10
10	Antalyaspor	8	3	1	4	-4	-4.7	10
11	Kasimpasa	7	2	2	3	-1	-1.5	8
12	Rizespor	7	2	2	3	-2	+1.2	8
13	Buyuksehyr	6	1	3	2	+0	-0.1	6
14	Genclerbirligi	8	1	2	5	-5	-4.4	5
15	Eyüpspor	7	1	2	4	-6	-5.4	5
16	Kayserispor	8	0	5	3	-12	-5.7	5
17	Karagumruk	7	1	0	6	-9	-4.1	3
18	Kocaelispor	7	0	2	5	-8	-3.4	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Trabzonspor	5	3	2	0	+6	+4.8	11
2	Fenerbahce	4	3	1	0	+5	+9.6	10
3	Galatasaray	3	3	0	0	+7	+3.6	9
4	Besiktas	3	3	0	0	+4	+4.9	9
5	Samsunspor	4	2	1	1	+1	+2.3	7
6	Gaziantep	4	2	1	1	+0	+2.3	7
7	Konyaspor	3	2	0	1	+3	+0.3	6
8	Goztep	3	1	2	0	+3	+1.4	5
9	Alanyaspor	3	1	1	1	+1	-1.3	4
10	Genclerbirligi	4	1	1	2	-2	+0.7	4
11	Antalyaspor	4	1	1	2	-3	-0.5	4
12	Eyüpspor	4	1	1	2	-4	-3.9	4
13	Buyuksehyr	3	0	3	0	+0	+0.7	3
14	Rizespor	3	1	0	2	-3	+1.6	3
15	Kocaelispor	3	0	2	1	-1	+1.6	2
16	Kayserispor	4	0	2	2	-8	-2.3	2
17	Kasimpasa	3	0	1	2	-2	+0.9	1
18	Karagumruk	4	0	0	4	-6	-1.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	4	4	0	0	+10	+6.5	12
2	Goztep	4	2	2	0	+5	+1.8	8
3	Kasimpasa	4	2	1	1	+1	-2.4	7
4	Trabzonspor	3	2	0	1	+1	-2.0	6
5	Alanyaspor	5	1	3	1	+0	-2.5	6
6	Antalyaspor	4	2	0	2	-1	-4.2	6
7	Fenerbahce	3	1	2	0	+2	+1.2	5
8	Rizespor	4	1	2	1	+1	-0.3	5
9	Samsunspor	3	1	2	0	+1	-0.9	5
10	Konyaspor	3	1	1	1	+1	-1.4	4
11	Gaziantep	3	1	1	1	-2	-3.8	4
12	Buyuksehyr	3	1	0	2	+0	-0.7	3
13	Besiktas	3	1	0	2	-1	+1.2	3
14	Karagumruk	3	1	0	2	-3	-3.2	3
15	Kayserispor	4	0	3	1	-4	-3.3	3
16	Eyüpspor	3	0	1	2	-2	-1.6	1
17	Genclerbirligi	4	0	1	3	-3	-5.1	1
18	Kocaelispor	4	0	0	4	-7	-5.0	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.