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Süper Lig

Referee: Yasin Kol

Fenerbahce

S U S S U

1–1

Full-time

Galatasaray

U S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fenerbahce Galatasaray

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

4,0

2,3

Scored

2,8

1,5

Conceded

1,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,7

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 73%

69%

77%

Points per game

2,4

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

62%

Both score Ø 54%

62%

46%

Average goals

3,2

2,8

Scored

2,3

2,2

Conceded

0,9

0,6

Goal diff per game

+1,4

+1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,00 xG 0,23

56% Possession 44%

17 Shots 6

2 Shots on target 2

6 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

7 Corners 3

1 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 22

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fenerbahce 2. · Galatasaray 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	13	10	2	1	+20	+17.0	32
2	Fenerbahce	13	9	4	0	+18	+17.7	31
3	Trabzonspor	14	9	4	1	+13	+2.3	31
4	Goztep	14	7	5	2	+10	+3.6	26
5	Besiktas	14	7	3	4	+7	+13.3	24
6	Samsunspor	13	6	6	1	+7	+8.1	24
7	Gaziantep	14	6	4	4	-1	+0.4	22
8	Kocaelispor	14	5	3	6	-3	-2.1	18
9	Buyuksehyr	14	4	4	6	+3	-1.8	16
10	Alanyaspor	13	3	6	4	-1	-5.1	15
11	Konyaspor	14	4	3	7	-4	-3.2	15
12	Rizespor	14	3	5	6	-6	-1.1	14
13	Antalyaspor	14	4	2	8	-11	-9.8	14
14	Kasimpasa	14	3	4	7	-7	-7.3	13
15	Eyüpspor	14	3	3	8	-8	-4.3	12
16	Kayserispor	14	2	6	6	-17	-9.0	12
17	Genclerbirligi	14	3	2	9	-7	-9.4	11
18	Karagumruk	14	2	2	10	-13	-9.2	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Trabzonspor	8	5	3	0	+10	+6.1	18
2	Galatasaray	7	5	2	0	+10	+9.0	17
3	Fenerbahce	6	5	1	0	+8	+12.4	16
4	Kocaelispor	7	4	2	1	+4	+4.0	14
5	Goztep	6	3	3	0	+5	+2.1	12
6	Samsunspor	7	3	3	1	+2	+7.0	12
7	Gaziantep	8	3	2	3	-4	+1.9	11
8	Besiktas	6	3	1	2	+2	+5.6	10
9	Alanyaspor	6	2	2	2	+1	-1.4	8
10	Eyüpspor	7	2	2	3	-3	-1.4	8
11	Konyaspor	7	2	1	4	-2	-0.1	7
12	Genclerbirligi	6	2	1	3	-2	+1.3	7
13	Rizespor	8	2	1	5	-7	+2.4	7
14	Buyuksehyr	6	1	3	2	-1	-1.4	6
15	Kayserispor	7	1	2	4	-12	-3.5	5
16	Karagumruk	8	1	1	6	-8	-3.8	4
17	Antalyaspor	7	1	1	5	-10	-3.1	4
18	Kasimpasa	7	0	3	4	-6	-1.8	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	7	4	3	0	+10	+5.3	15
2	Galatasaray	6	5	0	1	+10	+8.0	15
3	Besiktas	8	4	2	2	+5	+7.7	14
4	Goztep	8	4	2	2	+5	+1.5	14
5	Trabzonspor	6	4	1	1	+3	-3.8	13
6	Samsunspor	6	3	3	0	+5	+1.1	12
7	Gaziantep	6	3	2	1	+3	-1.6	11
8	Buyuksehyr	8	3	1	4	+4	-0.4	10
9	Kasimpasa	7	3	1	3	-1	-5.5	10
10	Antalyaspor	7	3	1	3	-1	-6.6	10
11	Konyaspor	7	2	2	3	-2	-3.1	8
12	Rizespor	6	1	4	1	+1	-3.4	7
13	Alanyaspor	7	1	4	2	-2	-3.7	7
14	Kayserispor	7	1	4	2	-5	-5.5	7
15	Genclerbirligi	8	1	1	6	-5	-10.8	4
16	Karagumruk	6	1	1	4	-5	-5.4	4
17	Eyüpspor	7	1	1	5	-5	-2.9	4
18	Kocaelispor	7	1	1	5	-7	-6.1	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.