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Süper Lig
Referee: A Kardeşler
Galatasaray
S S S S S
0–1
Full-time
Fenerbahce
S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Galatasaray Fenerbahce
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 84%
100%
67%
Points per game
3,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
4,2
2,3
Scored
3,5
1,7
Conceded
0,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+2,8
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 85%
89%
81%
Points per game
2,8
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
64%
67%
Both score Ø 54%
50%
58%
Average goals
3,1
3,4
Scored
2,5
2,6
Conceded
0,7
0,9
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,67 xG 1,41
69% Possession 31%
11 Shots 11
0 Shots on target 1
6 Blocked shots 2
1 Corners 5
1 Offside 3
18 Free kicks against 10
4 Yellow cards 7
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Galatasaray 1. · Fenerbahce 2.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Galatasaray 36 32 3 1 +65 +47.0 99
2 Fenerbahce 36 29 6 1 +61 +58.5 93
3 Trabzonspor 37 20 4 13 +17 +1.6 64
4 Buyuksehyr 37 17 7 13 +10 +3.6 58
5 Besiktas 37 16 8 13 +6 +11.2 56
6 Kasimpasa 37 15 8 14 -4 -7.9 53
7 Alanyaspor 37 12 15 10 +3 +6.6 51
8 Sivasspor 37 13 12 12 -8 -7.2 51
9 Rizespor 37 14 8 15 -8 -7.2 50
10 Antalyaspor 37 12 12 13 -5 -7.4 48
11 Kayserispor 37 11 12 14 -12 -12.2 45
12 Ad. Demirspor 37 10 14 13 -3 -2.5 44
13 Samsunspor 37 11 10 16 -8 +6.3 43
14 Gaziantep 37 11 8 18 -8 -12.3 41
15 Konyaspor 37 9 14 14 -11 -11.3 41
16 Ankaragücü 37 8 16 13 -4 -5.5 40
17 Hatayspor 37 8 14 15 -9 -8.0 38
18 Karagumruk 37 9 10 18 -5 -15.2 37
19 Pendikspor 37 9 10 18 -30 -11.3 37
20 İstanbulspor 37 4 7 26 -47 -26.8 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Galatasaray Fenerbahce
Dries Mertens 🟨
5′
12′
🟨 Alexander Djiku
Barış Alper Yılmaz 🟨
13′
13′
🟨 Bright Osayi-Samuel
21′
🟨 Alexander Djiku
21′
🟥 Alexander Djiku
34′
🟨 Michy Batshuayi
Half-time 0–0
Hakim Ziyech 🟨
59′
65′
🟨 Mert Hakan Yandaş
65′
🔁 J. King
↦ M. Yandaş
71′
Ç. Söyüncü 0–1
K. Aktürkoğlu 🔁
↦ D. Köhn
73′
B. Kutlu 🔁
↦ K. Demirbay
74′
W. Zaha 🔁
↦ V. Nelsson
80′
83′
🔁 E. Džeko
↦ M. Batshuayi
Tetê 🔁
↦ H. Ziyech
84′
Carlos Vinícius 🔁
↦ D. Mertens
84′
86′
🟨 Dominik Livaković
Berkan Kutlu 🟨
88′
89′
🔁 L. Bonucci
↦ D. Tadić
95′
🟨 Fred
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Galatasaray

4-2-3-1
1 F. Muslera G
23 K. Ayhan D
25 V. Nelsson D
6 D. Sánchez D
17 D. Köhn D
34 L. Torreira M
8 K. Demirbay M
22 H. Ziyech M
10 D. Mertens M
53 B. Yılmaz M
9 M. Icardi F
Bench (10)
7 K. Aktürkoğlu
18 B. Kutlu
14 W. Zaha
20 Tetê
95 Carlos Vinícius
92 S. Aurier
19 G. Güvenç
5 E. Aydın
42 A. Bardakcı
27 Sérgio Oliveira

Coach: O. Buruk

Fenerbahce

4-2-3-1
40 D. Livaković G
21 B. Osayi-Samuel D
2 Ç. Söyüncü D
24 J. Oosterwolde D
7 F. Kadıoğlu D
6 A. Djiku M
35 Fred M
53 S. Szymański M
8 M. Yandaş M
10 D. Tadić M
23 M. Batshuayi F
Bench (10)
15 J. King
9 E. Džeko
19 L. Bonucci
92 E. Karayazı
70 İ. Eğribayat
95 Y. Akçiçek
91 S. Dursun
26 M. Zajc
88 Z. Dursun
16 M. Müldür

Coach: İ. Kartal

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,25
U
3,69
B ✓
2,84
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,54
U2,5 ✓
2,42
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Kardeşler · 98 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.