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Süper Lig

Referee: A Karaoğlan

Fenerbahce

U U S S S

1–3

Full-time

Galatasaray

T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fenerbahce Galatasaray

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,8

4,0

Scored

2,3

2,8

Conceded

0,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,8

+1,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 90%

80%

100%

Points per game

2,6

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 80%

60%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

20%

80%

Average goals

3,0

4,2

Scored

2,6

3,4

Conceded

0,4

0,8

Goal diff per game

+2,2

+2,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

3,40 xG 1,41

56% Possession 44%

24 Shots 13

10 Shots on target 6

6 Blocked shots 0

4 Goalkeeper saves 8

10 Corners 2

6 Offside 5

13 Free kicks against 23

3 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fenerbahce 2. · Galatasaray 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	5	5	0	0	+13	+7.0	15
2	Fenerbahce	5	4	1	0	+11	+6.3	13
3	Besiktas	4	3	1	0	+6	+4.6	10
4	Buyuksehyr	5	3	1	1	+4	+0.0	10
5	Eyüpspor	5	2	3	0	+4	+1.4	9
6	Samsunspor	5	3	0	2	+3	+3.5	9
7	Konyaspor	6	2	2	2	-1	-0.4	8
8	Sivasspor	6	2	2	2	-1	-4.7	8
9	Antalyaspor	5	2	1	2	-3	-4.0	7
10	Goztep	4	1	3	0	+2	-1.4	6
11	Bodrumspor	6	2	0	4	-4	+0.4	6
12	Kasimpasa	5	1	2	2	-2	+0.1	5
13	Trabzonspor	4	0	4	0	+0	-1.0	4
14	Rizespor	5	1	1	3	-10	-2.7	4
15	Kayserispor	4	0	3	1	-1	-1.0	3
16	Gaziantep	4	1	0	3	-3	-1.1	3
17	Alanyaspor	5	0	3	2	-5	+0.7	3
18	Hatayspor	6	0	2	4	-6	-6.1	2
19	Ad. Demirspor	5	0	1	4	-7	-1.3	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	3	3	0	0	+8	+7.7	9
2	Antalyaspor	3	2	1	0	+2	-0.2	7
3	Buyuksehyr	2	2	0	0	+5	+0.5	6
4	Besiktas	2	2	0	0	+4	+4.1	6
5	Fenerbahce	2	2	0	0	+4	+3.1	6
6	Eyüpspor	2	1	1	0	+3	+1.0	4
7	Goztep	2	1	1	0	+2	-2.0	4
8	Sivasspor	3	1	1	1	+0	-1.8	4
9	Bodrumspor	3	1	0	2	+0	+0.2	3
10	Alanyaspor	3	0	3	0	+0	+1.3	3
11	Samsunspor	3	1	0	2	-1	+1.7	3
12	Trabzonspor	2	0	2	0	+0	-1.0	2
13	Konyaspor	3	0	2	1	-1	+1.0	2
14	Kayserispor	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.7	1
15	Kasimpasa	3	0	1	2	-3	-0.2	1
16	Hatayspor	3	0	1	2	-4	-2.4	1
17	Rizespor	3	0	1	2	-6	+0.2	1
18	Gaziantep	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.1	0
19	Ad. Demirspor	2	0	0	2	-5	-0.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	3	2	1	0	+7	+3.2	7
2	Galatasaray	2	2	0	0	+5	-0.8	6
3	Samsunspor	2	2	0	0	+4	+1.8	6
4	Konyaspor	3	2	0	1	+0	-1.4	6
5	Eyüpspor	3	1	2	0	+1	+0.4	5
6	Besiktas	2	1	1	0	+2	+0.5	4
7	Kasimpasa	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.2	4
8	Sivasspor	3	1	1	1	-1	-2.9	4
9	Buyuksehyr	3	1	1	1	-1	-0.5	4
10	Gaziantep	3	1	0	2	-2	-1.2	3
11	Bodrumspor	3	1	0	2	-4	+0.2	3
12	Rizespor	2	1	0	1	-4	-3.0	3
13	Kayserispor	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.3	2
14	Goztep	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.6	2
15	Trabzonspor	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.1	2
16	Hatayspor	3	0	1	2	-2	-3.7	1
17	Ad. Demirspor	3	0	1	2	-2	-1.1	1
18	Antalyaspor	2	0	0	2	-5	-3.7	0
19	Alanyaspor	2	0	0	2	-5	-0.6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.