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Süper Lig
Referee: A Bitigen
Galatasaray
T S S S S
3–0
Full-time
Fenerbahce
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Galatasaray Fenerbahce
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,5
Scored
2,2
2,5
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,5
This season — Süper Lig · 34/34 matches
Win Ø 74%
76%
71%
Points per game
2,4
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 71%
68%
74%
Both score Ø 55%
50%
59%
Average goals
3,1
3,6
Scored
2,3
2,5
Conceded
0,8
1,1
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

52% Possession 48%
17 Shots 5
6 Shots on target 0
4 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 3
3 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Galatasaray 1. · Fenerbahce 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Galatasaray 34 26 4 4 +50 82
2 Fenerbahce 34 24 5 5 +45 77
3 Besiktas 35 23 8 4 +42 77
4 Ad. Demirspor 35 19 9 7 +30 66
5 Buyuksehyr 35 17 8 10 +15 59
6 Trabzonspor 35 17 6 12 +12 57
7 Konyaspor 35 12 14 9 +8 50
8 Kayserispor 35 15 4 16 -6 49
9 Karagumruk 35 12 12 11 +9 48
10 Kasimpasa 35 12 7 16 -13 43
11 Ankaragücü 35 12 6 17 -9 42
12 Antalyaspor 35 11 8 16 -7 41
13 Alanyaspor 36 11 8 17 -16 41
14 Sivasspor 35 11 7 17 -8 40
15 İstanbulspor 35 11 5 19 -20 38
16 Giresunspor 35 9 10 16 -20 37
17 Ümraniyespor 36 8 9 19 -10 33
18 Gaziantep 36 6 7 23 -41 25
19 Hatayspor 35 6 5 24 -61 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Galatasaray Fenerbahce
-5′
🟨 İrfan Can Kahveci
Victor Nelsson 🟨
12′
1–0 N. Zaniolo
B. Yılmaz
28′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 B. Osayi-Samuel
↦ D. Rossi
61′
🟥 Luan Peres
65′
🔁 E. Mor
↦ A. Güler
67′
🔁 İ. Yüksek
↦ Willian Arão
2–0 M. Icardi
A. Bardakcı
71′
D. Mertens 🔁
↦ B. Yılmaz
73′
76′
🔁 J. King
↦ M. Batshuayi
76′
🔁 João Pedro
↦ E. Valencia
3–0 N. Zaniolo
K. Aktürkoğlu
79′
82′
🟨 Miha Zajc
K. Ayhan 🔁
↦ V. Nelsson
84′
Mata 🔁
↦ L. Torreira
85′
B. Gomis 🔁
↦ N. Zaniolo
87′
Y. Akgün 🔁
↦ K. Aktürkoğlu
87′
92′
🟨 İsmail Yüksek
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Galatasaray

4-2-3-1
1 F. Muslera G
93 S. Boey D
25 V. Nelsson D
42 A. Bardakcı D
88 K. Karataş D
22 B. Kutlu M
5 L. Torreira M
17 N. Zaniolo M
53 B. Yılmaz M
7 K. Aktürkoğlu M
99 M. Icardi F
Bench (10)
10 D. Mertens
23 K. Ayhan
64 Mata
18 B. Gomis
11 Y. Akgün
40 E. Bayram
27 Sérgio Oliveira
2 L. Dubois
34 O. Kocuk
26 M. Rashica

Coach: O. Buruk

Fenerbahce

4-1-3-2
70 İ. Eğribayat G
7 F. Kadıoğlu D
3 S. Akaydin D
41 A. Szalai D
28 Luan Peres D
5 Willian Arão M
10 A. Güler M
26 M. Zajc M
9 D. Rossi M
13 E. Valencia F
23 M. Batshuayi F
Bench (10)
21 B. Osayi-Samuel
99 E. Mor
80 İ. Yüksek
15 J. King
20 João Pedro
4 S. Aziz
8 M. Yandaş
54 E. Çetin
24 J. Oosterwolde
17 İ. Kahveci

Coach: Jorge Jesus

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,04
U
3,66
B
3,37
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,61
U2,5
2,29
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Bitigen · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,31 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.