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Champions League
Referee: B Bastien
Ajax
U T T S U
0–3
Full-time
Galatasaray
U S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax Galatasaray
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
4,2
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
2,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
4,0
3,7
Scored
0,3
1,7
Conceded
3,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
-3,3
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,90 xG 2,54
48% Possession 52%
8 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 7
1 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 2
1 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 15
4 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

30. Jan -25 Ajax – Galatasaray 2–1

Match report

Ajax Galatasaray
Jorthy Mokio 🟨
4′
Anton Gaaei 🟨
38′
Half-time 0–0
G. Alders 🔁
↦ O. Wijndal
46′
46′
🔁 B. A. Yilmaz
↦ Gabriel Sara
59′
V. Osimhen 0–1
L. Sane
64′
ℹ️ Barış Alper Yılmaz
VAR: Penalty confirmed
66′
V. Osimhen 0–2
K. Fitz-Jim 🔁
↦ Y. Regeer
70′
R. Bounida 🔁
↦ M. Godts
70′
Davy Klaassen 🟨
75′
78′
V. Osimhen 0–3
J. McConnell 🔁
↦ J. Mokio
79′
81′
🔁 M. Icardi
↦ V. Osimhen
James McConnell 🟨
85′
86′
🔁 E. Elmali
↦ I. Jakobs
86′
🔁 K. Ayhan
↦ M. Lemina
89′
🔁 B. Kutlu
↦ L. Torreira
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Ajax

22 R. Pasveer G
3 A. Gaaei D
37 J. Sutalo D
15 Y. Baas D
5 O. Wijndal D
18 D. Klaassen M
24 J. Mokio M
6 Y. Regeer M
10 O. Gloukh M
11 M. Godts M
25 W. Weghorst F
Bench (11)
1 V. Jaros
12 J. Heerkens
2 L. Rosa
4 K. Itakura
7 R. Moro
16 J. McConnell
17 O. Edvardsen
19 D. Konadu
28 K. Fitz-Jim
41 G. Alders
43 R. Bounida

Galatasaray

4-2-3-1
1 U. Cakir G
90 W. Singo D
6 D. Sanchez D
42 A. Bardakci D
4 I. Jakobs D
34 L. Torreira M
99 M. Lemina M
10 L. Sane M
8 Gabriel Sara M
7 R. Sallai M
45 V. Osimhen F
Bench (11)
12 B. Sen
19 G. Guvenc
3 M. Baltaci
9 M. Icardi
17 E. Elmali
18 B. Kutlu
21 A. Kutucu
23 K. Ayhan
30 Y. Demir
53 B. A. Yilmaz
91 A. Unyay

Coach: Okan Buruk

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

B Bastien · 180 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.