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Süper Lig

Referee: Ozan Ergun

Galatasaray

S S U S T

3–2

Full-time

Genclerbirligi

U S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Galatasaray Genclerbirligi

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,5

2,7

Scored

1,8

1,3

Conceded

0,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 50%

75%

25%

Points per game

2,4

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

58%

Both score Ø 55%

42%

67%

Average goals

2,6

2,4

Scored

2,1

1,0

Conceded

0,5

1,4

Goal diff per game

+1,6

-0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

4,34 xG 1,66

73% Possession 27%

28 Shots 11

9 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 6

4 Corners 2

1 Offside 3

11 Free kicks against 6

3 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 1

The table before the match Galatasaray 1. · Genclerbirligi 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	12	9	2	1	+19	+14.3	29
2	Fenerbahce	12	8	4	0	+15	+15.2	28
3	Trabzonspor	12	7	4	1	+10	+0.3	25
4	Samsunspor	12	6	5	1	+7	+7.9	23
5	Goztep	12	6	4	2	+9	+3.2	22
6	Gaziantep	13	6	4	3	+0	+1.8	22
7	Besiktas	12	6	2	4	+5	+10.7	20
8	Alanyaspor	12	3	6	3	+0	-4.9	15
9	Konyaspor	12	4	2	6	-2	-2.7	14
10	Rizespor	12	3	5	4	-2	+0.7	14
11	Kocaelispor	12	4	2	6	-4	-3.2	14
12	Buyuksehyr	12	3	4	5	+2	-0.5	13
13	Antalyaspor	12	4	1	7	-10	-8.9	13
14	Genclerbirligi	12	3	2	7	-5	-5.7	11
15	Kasimpasa	12	2	4	6	-6	-7.6	10
16	Eyüpspor	13	2	3	8	-9	-5.8	9
17	Kayserispor	13	1	6	6	-18	-8.2	9
18	Karagumruk	13	2	2	9	-11	-6.5	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	6	5	1	0	+8	+12.4	16
2	Trabzonspor	7	4	3	0	+8	+5.3	15
3	Galatasaray	6	4	2	0	+9	+6.3	14
4	Samsunspor	7	3	3	1	+2	+7.0	12
5	Goztep	5	3	2	0	+5	+2.2	11
6	Kocaelispor	6	3	2	1	+3	+2.9	11
7	Gaziantep	7	3	2	2	-3	+3.4	11
8	Besiktas	5	3	0	2	+2	+5.7	9
9	Alanyaspor	5	2	2	1	+2	-1.2	8
10	Eyüpspor	7	2	2	3	-3	-1.4	8
11	Genclerbirligi	6	2	1	3	-2	+1.3	7
12	Rizespor	6	2	1	3	-3	+4.1	7
13	Buyuksehyr	5	1	3	1	+0	-0.2	6
14	Konyaspor	6	2	0	4	-2	-0.5	6
15	Kayserispor	7	1	2	4	-12	-3.5	5
16	Karagumruk	7	1	1	5	-6	-1.1	4
17	Antalyaspor	6	1	1	4	-9	-2.6	4
18	Kasimpasa	6	0	3	3	-4	-1.9	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	6	5	0	1	+10	+8.0	15
2	Fenerbahce	6	3	3	0	+7	+2.8	12
3	Samsunspor	5	3	2	0	+5	+0.9	11
4	Goztep	7	3	2	2	+4	+0.9	11
5	Besiktas	7	3	2	2	+3	+5.0	11
6	Gaziantep	6	3	2	1	+3	-1.6	11
7	Trabzonspor	5	3	1	1	+2	-5.0	10
8	Antalyaspor	6	3	0	3	-1	-6.3	9
9	Konyaspor	6	2	2	2	+0	-2.3	8
10	Buyuksehyr	7	2	1	4	+2	-0.3	7
11	Rizespor	6	1	4	1	+1	-3.4	7
12	Alanyaspor	7	1	4	2	-2	-3.7	7
13	Kasimpasa	6	2	1	3	-2	-5.7	7
14	Genclerbirligi	6	1	1	4	-3	-7.0	4
15	Karagumruk	6	1	1	4	-5	-5.4	4
16	Kayserispor	6	0	4	2	-6	-4.7	4
17	Kocaelispor	6	1	0	5	-7	-6.1	3
18	Eyüpspor	6	0	1	5	-6	-4.4	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.