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Süper Lig
Referee: C Aydin
Karagumruk
U S T S T
1–2
Full-time
Eyüpspor
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Karagumruk Eyüpspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,5
1,5
Scored
1,0
0,2
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
48%
41%
Both score Ø 45%
48%
41%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
0,9
0,7
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

1,48 xG 0,32
62% Possession 38%
12 Shots 6
3 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 5
3 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Karagumruk 18. · Eyüpspor 17.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Galatasaray 29 21 5 3 +45 +29.4 68
2 Fenerbahce 30 19 10 1 +38 +31.9 67
3 Trabzonspor 29 19 7 3 +25 +8.3 64
4 Besiktas 29 16 7 6 +19 +24.6 55
5 Buyuksehyr 29 13 8 8 +17 +6.0 47
6 Goztep 29 12 11 6 +10 +8.9 47
7 Samsunspor 29 9 12 8 -4 +6.2 39
8 Rizespor 30 9 10 11 -1 -0.0 37
9 Konyaspor 30 9 10 11 -3 -0.8 37
10 Kocaelispor 29 9 8 12 -9 -3.7 35
11 Gaziantep 29 8 10 11 -11 -4.6 34
12 Alanyaspor 29 6 15 8 +1 -8.6 33
13 Kasimpasa 29 6 10 13 -13 -13.0 28
14 Antalyaspor 30 7 7 16 -19 -22.3 28
15 Genclerbirligi 29 6 7 16 -14 -17.3 25
16 Kayserispor 29 4 11 14 -33 -13.1 23
17 Eyüpspor 29 5 7 17 -23 -18.1 22
18 Karagumruk 29 5 5 19 -25 -13.9 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Karagumruk Eyüpspor
1–0 Serginho
D. Verde
16′
T. Cukur 🔁
↦ S. Babicka
33′
39′
M. Kranevitter 2–0
own goal
44′
M. Legowski 2–1
U. Meras
Half-time 2–1
46′
🟨 Taskin Ilter
B. Ozcan 🔁
↦ B. Elmaz
61′
B. Kalayci 🔁
↦ D. Verde
61′
68′
🔁 L. Pintor
↦ I. Taskin
77′
ℹ️ Seyfettin Anıl Yaşar
VAR: Card upgrade
78′
🟥 Seyfettin Anıl Yaşar
80′
🔁 B. Ozyurt
↦ C. Raux Yao
80′
🔁 J. Onguene
↦ Lucas Calegari
80′
🔁 T. Ulvan
↦ M. Altunbas
85′
🟨 Jankat Yılmaz
92′
🟨 Lenny Pintor
92′
🔁 A. K. Sy
↦ U. Bozok
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Karagumruk

4-4-2
13 I. Grbic G
47 R. Esgaio D
4 D. Biraschi D
3 I. Lichnovsky D
25 F. Mladenovic D
10 D. Verde M
5 M. Kranevitter M
6 B. Elmaz M
80 S. Babicka M
23 S. Larsson F
70 Serginho F
Bench (10)
99 F. Beklevic
8 B. Ozcan
22 F. Kurucuk
33 C. Kurukalip
21 T. Cukur
72 B. Kalayci
24 B. Ersoy
32 M. Kadioglu
94 A. Cinar
88 T. Ahmed

Coach: Onur Korkmaz

Eyüpspor

4-4-2
24 J. Yilmaz G
2 Lucas Calegari D
4 Luccas Claro D
16 A. Yasar D
77 U. Meras D
26 M. Altunbas M
28 I. Taskin M
55 B. A. Gezek M
15 C. Raux Yao M
20 M. Legowski F
19 U. Bozok F
Bench (10)
1 Marcos Felipe
5 B. Ozyurt
68 J. Onguene
23 L. Pintor
17 T. Ulvan
88 A. Yavuz
42 B. K. Satli
27 I. Manga
14 D. Ndoye
25 A. K. Sy

Coach: Orhan Ak

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,91
U
3,36
B ✓
3,73
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,99
U2,5
1,74
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

C Aydin · 12 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.