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2. Bundesliga
Referee: M Burda
Hannover
T U S U S
1–1
Full-time
Paderborn
U U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hannover Paderborn
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,2
3,5
Scored
1,3
2,2
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 56%
52%
59%
Points per game
1,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
69%
62%
Both score Ø 63%
59%
66%
Average goals
2,9
2,9
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,64 xG 1,83
65% Possession 35%
5 Shots 16
2 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 6
5 Goalkeeper saves 0
5 Corners 3
4 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hannover 4. · Paderborn 2.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Schalke 04 29 17 7 5 +16 +12.6 58
2 Paderborn 29 17 6 6 +17 +14.2 57
3 Elversberg 30 16 7 7 +20 +7.2 55
4 Hannover 29 15 8 6 +14 +13.6 53
5 Darmstadt 29 13 11 5 +16 +4.2 50
6 Hertha 29 13 8 8 +9 -4.4 47
7 Kaiserslautern 30 14 4 12 +5 -1.0 46
8 Karlsruhe 30 11 7 12 -9 -20.4 40
9 Nurnberg 30 10 8 12 -2 +0.3 38
10 Bochum 30 9 9 12 +0 +4.2 36
11 Dresden 30 9 8 13 +2 +0.9 35
12 Holstein Kiel 30 9 8 13 -4 -10.0 35
13 Magdeburg 30 10 3 17 -7 +7.6 33
14 Bielefeld 30 8 8 14 -2 +2.4 32
15 Fortuna Dusseldorf 30 9 4 17 -20 -5.5 31
16 Braunschweig 29 8 6 15 -18 -1.6 30
17 Greuther Furth 29 8 6 15 -21 -12.3 30
18 Preußen Münster 29 6 10 13 -16 -11.9 28

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hannover Paderborn
40′
F. Gotze 0–1
R. Obermair
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 J. Sticker
↦ R. Obermair
Daisuke Yokota 🟨
54′
K. Oudenne 🔁
↦ N. Aseko-Nkili
62′
H. Chakroun 🔁
↦ V. Ghita
62′
Maurice Neubauer 🟨
66′
69′
🔁 S. Tigges
↦ R. Muller
M. Bundu 🔁
↦ D. Yokota
71′
H. Matsuda 🔁
↦ M. Neubauer
71′
75′
🔁 S. Michel
↦ S. Marino
1–1 B. Kallman
M. Bundu
78′
Husseyn Chakroun 🟨
84′
84′
🟨 Filip Bilbija
87′
🔁 S. Klaas
↦ M. Baur
87′
🔁 N. Batzner
↦ F. Bilbija
H. Nielsen 🔁
↦ W. Taibi
92′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Hannover

3-4-2-1
1 N. Noll G
17 B. Allgeier D
5 V. Ghita D
20 I. Okon D
15 N. Aseko-Nkili M
8 E. Leopold M
23 S. T. Thordarson M
33 M. Neubauer M
18 D. Yokota F
26 W. Taibi F
9 B. Kallman F
Bench (9)
30 L. Weinkauf
13 F. Roggow
29 K. Oudenne
14 H. Chakroun
16 H. Nielsen
7 M. Bundu
19 W. Kokolo
10 N. Weisshaupt
27 H. Matsuda

Coach: Christian Titz

Paderborn

5-3-2
41 D. Seimen G
17 L. Curda D
25 T. Scheller D
20 F. Gotze D
4 C. Brackelmann D
23 R. Obermair D
14 M. Baur M
5 S. Castaneda M
7 F. Bilbija M
30 S. Marino F
2 R. Muller F
Bench (9)
1 M. Schubert
11 S. Michel
8 D. Kinsombi
27 S. Tigges
3 J. Sticker
26 S. Klaas
9 N. Batzner
24 N. Mohr
10 K. Okpala

Coach: Ralf Kettemann

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,13
U ✓
3,60
B
2,97
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,56
U2,5 ✓
2,31
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Burda · 52 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,04 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.