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Ekstraklasa

Referee: P Gryckiewicz

Pogon Szczecin

T S T T S

1–2

Full-time

Lech Poznan

S S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pogon Szczecin Lech Poznan

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,2

3,2

Scored

1,0

1,8

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 41%

39%

43%

Points per game

1,3

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

54%

68%

Both score Ø 63%

57%

68%

Average goals

2,9

3,2

Scored

1,4

1,8

Conceded

1,5

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,50 xG 3,37

56% Possession 44%

6 Shots 22

3 Shots on target 11

1 Blocked shots 3

9 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 6

1 Offside 5

13 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Pogon Szczecin 14. · Lech Poznan 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	28	12	10	6	+9	+20.1	46
2	Gornik Zabrze	29	13	7	9	+8	-4.3	46
3	Zaglebie	29	12	8	9	+8	-6.2	44
4	Jagiellonia	28	11	10	7	+9	-2.6	43
5	GKS Katowice	29	13	4	12	+2	-5.8	43
6	Lechia Gdansk	28	12	6	10	+4	+5.2	42
7	Wisla Plock	28	11	9	8	+3	-0.9	42
8	Rakow	28	11	7	10	+2	+8.6	40
9	Motor Lublin	29	9	12	8	-4	-8.4	39
10	Radomiak Radom	29	9	10	10	+2	+1.1	37
11	Legia	29	8	13	8	+2	+4.7	37
12	Korona Kielce	29	10	7	12	+1	-3.4	37
13	Cracovia	28	9	10	9	+0	+2.0	37
14	Pogon Szczecin	28	11	4	13	-4	+7.1	37
15	Piast Gliwice	28	10	5	13	-4	-3.1	35
16	Arka Gdynia	28	9	7	12	-17	-7.9	34
17	Widzew Lodz	29	9	6	14	-3	+4.1	33
18	Nieciecza	28	6	7	15	-18	-10.3	25

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Gornik Zabrze	15	10	1	4	+15	+3.5	31
2	GKS Katowice	15	9	2	4	+7	-0.4	29
3	Arka Gdynia	14	8	5	1	+7	-2.6	29
4	Radomiak Radom	15	8	4	3	+15	+10.3	28
5	Lechia Gdansk	14	8	3	3	+13	+6.2	27
6	Wisla Plock	14	8	3	3	+6	+2.0	27
7	Zaglebie	14	7	5	2	+13	+2.0	26
8	Pogon Szczecin	14	8	2	4	+7	+8.9	26
9	Jagiellonia	14	7	3	4	+9	+3.5	24
10	Legia	15	6	6	3	+6	+4.5	24
11	Lech Poznan	14	6	5	3	+6	+12.9	23
12	Motor Lublin	15	5	8	2	+4	+1.0	23
13	Widzew Lodz	14	6	4	4	+3	+4.2	22
14	Korona Kielce	14	6	3	5	+5	+4.3	21
15	Cracovia	14	5	6	3	+4	+6.2	21
16	Rakow	13	5	4	4	+2	+4.5	19
17	Piast Gliwice	14	5	3	6	-1	+2.1	18
18	Nieciecza	14	3	4	7	-8	-3.8	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	14	6	5	3	+3	+7.2	23
2	Rakow	15	6	3	6	+0	+4.1	21
3	Jagiellonia	14	4	7	3	+0	-6.1	19
4	Zaglebie	15	5	3	7	-5	-8.2	18
5	Piast Gliwice	14	5	2	7	-3	-5.2	17
6	Korona Kielce	15	4	4	7	-4	-7.7	16
7	Cracovia	14	4	4	6	-4	-4.1	16
8	Motor Lublin	14	4	4	6	-8	-9.4	16
9	Wisla Plock	14	3	6	5	-3	-2.8	15
10	Gornik Zabrze	14	3	6	5	-7	-7.8	15
11	Lechia Gdansk	14	4	3	7	-9	-1.0	15
12	GKS Katowice	14	4	2	8	-5	-5.4	14
13	Legia	14	2	7	5	-4	+0.2	13
14	Nieciecza	14	3	3	8	-10	-6.6	12
15	Widzew Lodz	15	3	2	10	-6	-0.2	11
16	Pogon Szczecin	14	3	2	9	-11	-1.8	11
17	Radomiak Radom	14	1	6	7	-13	-9.2	9
18	Arka Gdynia	14	1	2	11	-24	-5.2	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.