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Serie B
Referee: N Turrini
Juve Stabia
U U S T S
1–1
Full-time
Catanzaro
S T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Juve Stabia Catanzaro
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
3,0
3,5
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Serie B · 34/34 matches
Win Ø 37%
32%
41%
Points per game
1,4
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
47%
53%
Both score Ø 59%
53%
65%
Average goals
2,4
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,6
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,63 xG 0,83
44% Possession 56%
7 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Juve Stabia 7. · Catanzaro 5.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Venezia 35 22 9 4 +42 +32.6 75
2 Frosinone 35 20 12 3 +33 +10.4 72
3 Monza 35 21 9 5 +29 +16.5 72
4 Palermo 35 19 11 5 +29 +11.5 68
5 Catanzaro 34 14 13 7 +11 -0.2 55
6 Modena 35 14 10 11 +14 +6.7 52
7 Juve Stabia 34 11 15 8 +0 -0.2 48
8 Cesena 35 12 8 15 -10 +3.7 44
9 Avellino 35 11 10 14 -14 -15.1 43
10 Carrarese 34 10 12 12 -1 -5.3 42
11 Sudtirol 35 8 16 11 -6 -5.5 40
12 Mantova 35 11 7 17 -11 +1.0 40
13 Sampdoria 35 10 10 15 -13 -2.1 40
14 Padova 34 9 10 15 -12 -12.1 37
15 Empoli 34 8 12 14 -6 +3.5 36
16 Virtus Entella 34 8 11 15 -15 -9.7 35
17 Bari 35 8 10 17 -23 -21.5 34
18 Spezia 35 8 9 18 -14 -0.5 33
19 Reggiana 34 8 9 17 -19 -10.3 33
20 Pescara 34 7 11 16 -14 -3.4 32

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Juve Stabia Catanzaro
1–0 N. Mosti
A. Gabrielloni
18′
Half-time 1–0
Emanuele Torrasi 🟨
61′
G. Leone 🔁
↦ E. Torrasi
63′
A. Okoro 🔁
↦ A. Gabrielloni
63′
M. Varnier 🔁
↦ S. Diakite
72′
79′
🔁 R. Oudin
↦ M. Liberali
79′
🔁 P. Nuamah
↦ R. Frosinini
83′
🟨 Tommaso Cassandro
84′
🔁 D. Buglio
↦ M. Pompetti
84′
🔁 N. Koffi
↦ G. Alesi
F. Maistro 🔁
↦ A. Cacciamani
85′
M. Ricciardi 🔁
↦ C. Pierobon
85′
88′
F. Di Francesco 1–1
91′
🔁 E. Bashi
↦ Matias Antonini
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Juve Stabia

3-5-1-1
1 A. Confente G
46 S. Diakite D
33 A. Giorgini D
14 C. Dalle Mura D
24 L. Carissoni M
98 N. Mosti M
28 E. Torrasi
10 C. Pierobon M
77 A. Cacciamani M
29 O. Correia F
9 A. Gabrielloni F
Bench (11)
23 P. Boer
16 A. Signorini
13 M. Varnier
37 F. Maistro
17 A. Ciammaglichella
55 G. Leone
5 T. Battistella
2 M. Ricciardi
76 M. Mannini
90 A. Okoro
70 P. Matheu

Coach: Ignazio Abate

Catanzaro

3-4-2-1
22 M. Pigliacelli G
84 T. Cassandro D
4 Matias Antonini D
23 N. Brighenti D
62 R. Frosinini M
32 F. Rispoli M
21 M. Pompetti M
94 F. Di Francesco M
14 M. Liberali F
30 G. Alesi F
8 F. Pittarello F
Bench (12)
1 C. Marietta
28 R. Oudin
98 D. Buglio
5 E. Bashi
6 Fellipe Jack
81 S. Ardizzone
82 K. Gjoka
39 N. Koffi
26 B. Verrengia
2 G. Esteves
19 P. Nuamah
83 C. Castro Rombola

Coach: Alberto Aquilani

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,30
U ✓
3,16
B
2,97
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,04
U2,5 ✓
1,70
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

N Turrini · 12 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,0 / match
Below average

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.