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Super League
Referee: A Papapetrou
OFI Crete
T S T T T
1–0
Full-time
AEK
T S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

OFI Crete AEK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,2
3,5
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
This season — Super League · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 42%
42%
42%
Points per game
1,4
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
58%
50%
Both score Ø 71%
75%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,8
1,6
Conceded
1,3
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

9 Shots 5
3 Shots on target 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 5
4 Offside 4
16 Free kicks against 21
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match OFI Crete 5. · AEK 4. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 12 9 3 0 +16 30
2 PAOK 12 8 4 0 +11 28
3 Larisa 13 6 3 4 +2 21
4 AEK 12 5 4 3 +2 19
5 OFI Crete 12 5 2 5 +6 17
6 Aris 11 4 4 3 +5 16
7 Aris Thessalonikis 11 4 4 3 +5 16
8 Xanthi 12 5 1 6 -3 16
9 Volos NFC 13 5 1 7 -8 16
10 Atromitos 11 4 2 5 +2 14
11 Lamia 11 3 4 4 -5 13
12 Panionios 13 3 4 6 -6 13
13 Panathinaikos 12 3 4 5 -9 13
14 Asteras Tripolis 12 3 2 7 -3 11
15 Panetolikos 13 0 4 9 -15 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

OFI Crete AEK
24′
🟨 Paulinho
Half-time 1–0
1–0 Lisandro Semedo ⚽
J. Neira
52′
João Figueiredo 🔁
↦ D. Manos
59′
60′
🟨 Nenad Krstičić
61′
🔁 C. Albanis
↦ Paulinho
Kosmas Tsilianidis 🟨
63′
69′
🟨 Marko Livaja
Nikolaos Marinakis 🟨
78′
78′
🔁 G. Giakoumakis
↦ N. Krstičić
G. Koutroumbis 🔁
↦ A. Nabi
81′
83′
🔁 M. Deletić
↦ Hélder Lopes
89′
🟥 Ognjen Vranješ
A. Nastos 🔁
↦ N. Marinakis
93′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

OFI Crete

4-2-3-1
32 D. Sotiriou G
18 K. Giannoulis D
16 N. Marinakis D
47 C. Braun D
4 V. Sakor M
34 N. Korovesis D
8 J. Neira M
9 D. Manos F
10 A. Nabi F
19 K. Tsilianidis F
11 Lisandro Semedo F
Bench (7)
20 João Figueiredo
5 G. Koutroumbis
6 A. Nastos
26 P. Staikos
98 Felipe Souza Ferreyra
7 A. Dinas
1 Óscar Whalley

Coach: G. Simos

AEK

3-5-2
1 V. Barkas G
21 O. Vranješ D
27 Paulinho D
2 M. Bakakis D
3 Hélder Lopes D
4 M. Oikonomou D
6 N. Krstičić M
20 P. Mandalos M
25 K. Galanopoulos M
18 Nélson Oliveira F
10 M. Livaja F
Bench (7)
14 C. Albanis
9 G. Giakoumakis
11 M. Deletić
16 P. Tsintotas
23 N. Hult
8 André Simões
24 E. Svarnas

Coach: N. Kostenoglou

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,19
U
3,04
B
2,31
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
–
O2,5
2,09
U2,5 ✓
1,71
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
BLS nei ✓
–

Referee

A Papapetrou · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.